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A comparison

Aluminium and Glass

Two figures compared the only honest way: calculated together, so that what they have in common moves them together, and read as how many times larger one is than the other, with a range.

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Side by side, per kilogram

Scenario Conservative, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Aluminium

2.4 × 10⁻¹¹ per kilogram(0.93–5.8 × 10⁻¹¹)LOWS-CONS · run 2151 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

One item is one kilogram of primary aluminium.

Glass

2.7 × 10⁻¹¹ per kilogram(1.2–5.5 × 10⁻¹¹)LOWS-CONS · run 2151 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

One item is one kilogram of soda-lime glass.

Which is larger

The model cannot tell whether Aluminium carries more harm than Glass per kilogram: the range includes both possibilities.

Aluminium against Glass, per kilogram: ×0.87 as much, and very probably (nine times in ten) between ×0.27–×2.8.

In 42% of the runs calculated together, Aluminium comes out above Glass.

Calculated together: the same records of harm, the same split of each industry and the same world production in every run, and each product’s own list of materials. Seeing whether two separate ranges overlap would prove nothing either way.

The reason they differ

Deaths per kilogram of each product, by what carries them, with the largest difference first.

By raw material

By raw material
MaterialAluminium GlassDifference
Silica sand02.7 × 10⁻¹¹ −2.7 × 10⁻¹¹
Bauxite2.4 × 10⁻¹¹0 +2.4 × 10⁻¹¹

By country where the harm was counted

By country where the harm was counted
CountryAluminium GlassDifference
Turkiye1.8 × 10⁻¹¹5.7 × 10⁻¹² +1.2 × 10⁻¹¹
Spain08.2 × 10⁻¹² −8.2 × 10⁻¹²
Moldova05.2 × 10⁻¹² −5.2 × 10⁻¹²
Australia2.6 × 10⁻¹²9.6 × 10⁻¹⁵ +2.6 × 10⁻¹²
Italy01.7 × 10⁻¹² −1.7 × 10⁻¹²
France01.7 × 10⁻¹² −1.7 × 10⁻¹²
Greece1.7 × 10⁻¹²0 +1.7 × 10⁻¹²
United States01.5 × 10⁻¹² −1.5 × 10⁻¹²

Middle estimates. The range above belongs to the totals; these rows show where the middle difference comes from.

By the money method

Shown, not ranked. Measured per euro, most industries are too close to tell apart, and two products from the same industry always get the same figure per euro.

What this figure is not

Production phase only. Harm from using the product — driving the car, charging the phone — is not in this figure.

HumanToll 2026, run 2151, methodology v0.1. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/compare/aluminium/glass/