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A comparison

Roasted coffee and Lithium-ion battery pack

Two figures compared the only honest way: calculated together, so that what they have in common moves them together, and read as how many times larger one is than the other, with a range.

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Side by side, per kilogram

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Roasted coffee

6.7 × 10⁻⁸ per kilogram(0.27–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

One item is one kilogram of roasted coffee beans.

Lithium-ion battery pack

6.9 × 10⁻⁸ per kilogram(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

One item is one kilogram of assembled lithium-ion battery pack.

Which is larger

The model cannot tell whether Roasted coffee carries more harm than Lithium-ion battery pack per kilogram: the range includes both possibilities.

Roasted coffee against Lithium-ion battery pack, per kilogram: ×0.98 as much, and very probably (nine times in ten) between ×0.29–×2.8.

In 47% of the runs calculated together, Roasted coffee comes out above Lithium-ion battery pack.

Calculated together: the same records of harm, the same split of each industry and the same world production in every run, and each product’s own list of materials. Seeing whether two separate ranges overlap would prove nothing either way.

The reason they differ

Deaths per kilogram of each product, by what carries them, with the largest difference first.

By raw material

By raw material
MaterialRoasted coffee Lithium-ion battery packDifference
Coffee6.7 × 10⁻⁸0 +6.7 × 10⁻⁸
Cobalt04.3 × 10⁻⁸ −4.3 × 10⁻⁸
Copper01.4 × 10⁻⁸ −1.4 × 10⁻⁸
Lithium04.9 × 10⁻⁹ −4.9 × 10⁻⁹
Nickel04.5 × 10⁻⁹ −4.5 × 10⁻⁹
Natural graphite01.2 × 10⁻⁹ −1.2 × 10⁻⁹
Manganese04.3 × 10⁻¹⁰ −4.3 × 10⁻¹⁰
Bauxite08.3 × 10⁻¹¹ −8.3 × 10⁻¹¹

By country where the harm was counted

By country where the harm was counted
CountryRoasted coffee Lithium-ion battery packDifference
Congo, Dem. Rep.2.5 × 10⁻⁹5.5 × 10⁻⁸ −5.2 × 10⁻⁸
Ethiopia2.4 × 10⁻⁸4.2 × 10⁻¹⁵ +2.4 × 10⁻⁸
Central African Republic2.0 × 10⁻⁸0 +2.0 × 10⁻⁸
Honduras4.0 × 10⁻⁹0 +4.0 × 10⁻⁹
Brazil5.2 × 10⁻⁹1.3 × 10⁻⁹ +3.9 × 10⁻⁹
Colombia4.1 × 10⁻⁹7.3 × 10⁻¹⁰ +3.4 × 10⁻⁹
Philippines9.2 × 10⁻¹¹2.3 × 10⁻⁹ −2.3 × 10⁻⁹
Mexico6.6 × 10⁻¹⁰2.2 × 10⁻⁹ −1.5 × 10⁻⁹

Middle estimates. The range above belongs to the totals; these rows show where the middle difference comes from.

By the money method

Shown, not ranked. Measured per euro, most industries are too close to tell apart, and two products from the same industry always get the same figure per euro.

What this figure is not

Production phase only. Harm from using the product — driving the car, charging the phone — is not in this figure.

HumanToll 2026, run 2259, methodology v1.0. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/compare/roasted-coffee/battery-pack/