Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Ecuador, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Cocoa butter Part from here: 15%	4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.1 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cocoa mass Part from here: 15%	4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.0 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: 14%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: 2.8%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: 0.27%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: 0.16%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: 0.15%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Coffee, one cup Part from here: <0.1%	4.7 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.19–1.2 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Roasted coffee Part from here: <0.1%	6.7 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.27–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton yarn Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Denim fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.8 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Jeans Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–8.0 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton T-shirt Part from here: <0.1%	6.4 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.25–1.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: <0.1%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1995–2025	1,841	439 (2025)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1978–2023	2,442	1 (2023)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	22,556,871 t	0.5%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	266,190,139 m3	0.0%	reported
Wheat (2024)	7,323 t	0.0%	reported
Milk (2024)	1,968,639 t	0.2%	estimated
Natural rubber (2024)	19,605 t	0.1%	estimated
Maize (2024)	1,195,203 t	0.1%	reported
Rice (2024)	1,560,200 t	0.2%	reported
Soybeans (2024)	24,711 t	0.0%	reported
Sugar (2024)	6,383,381 t	0.3%	estimated
Coffee (2024)	5,465 t	0.0%	reported
Cocoa (2024)	403,699 t	7.7%	reported
Palm oil (2023)	494,674 t	0.6%	reported
Cotton (2024)	3,926 t	0.0%	estimated
Livestock (2024)	1,022,597 t	0.3%	reported
Timber (2024)	1,969,264 m3	0.1%	reported
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	9,553 t	0.2%	reported
Wood charcoal (2024)	48,850 t	0.1%	gap filled
Agricultural land (2024)	5,039,094 ha	0.1%	reported
Forest (2025)	12,310,320 ha	0.3%	external
Fresh water (2023)	1,293,000,000 m3	0.2%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	86.1%	—
Ecuador (at home)	11.8%	yes
Canada	1.8%	—
Nigeria	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	78.1%	—
Colombia	11.5%	yes
Canada	4.4%	—
United States	3.6%	—
China	1.7%	—
South Africa	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	36.5%	yes
Madagascar	18.0%	—
Canada	15.9%	—
Australia	14.1%	—
Indonesia	5.2%	yes
Turkiye	4.6%	yes
All other countries	5.7%

Copper — 2017, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	97.1%	yes
Chile	2.2%	—
United States	0.2%	yes
Mexico	0.1%	yes
Australia	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	31.3%	—
Australia	30.2%	—
China	20.6%	—
Argentina	8.2%	yes
Zimbabwe	5.8%	—
Brazil	2.4%	yes
All other countries	1.4%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	51.7%	—
Russian Federation	15.8%	yes
Australia	13.1%	—
Brazil	10.3%	yes
United States	3.5%	—
China	1.9%	—
All other countries	3.6%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	54.1%	—
Brazil	18.8%	yes
Indonesia	10.2%	yes
Bolivia	9.9%	—
Malaysia	3.1%	—
Australia	1.0%	—
All other countries	2.9%

Tantalum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mozambique	39.2%	yes
Australia	21.6%	—
Brazil	10.4%	yes
Nigeria	9.5%	yes
Rwanda	9.4%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	6.8%	yes
All other countries	3.3%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	78.3%	—
Bolivia	7.1%	—
Austria	3.1%	—
Portugal	3.0%	—
Spain	2.8%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.1%	—
All other countries	3.6%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	85.4%	—
Brazil	8.3%	yes
Canada	5.2%	—
Sweden	0.5%	—
Chile	0.3%	—
South Africa	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	83.4%	—
Myanmar	8.3%	yes
United States	6.1%	—
Australia	1.7%	—
India	0.2%	yes
Russian Federation	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	96.4%	—
Mexico	1.4%	yes
Bolivia	0.7%	—
United States	0.7%	—
China	0.2%	—
Sweden	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Phosphate rock — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	42.6%	yes
Gabon	22.8%	—
Ghana	11.5%	yes
Australia	10.7%	—
China	6.4%	—
Brazil	4.6%	yes
All other countries	1.5%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	75.5%	—
Brazil	10.9%	yes
Madagascar	6.3%	—
Mozambique	3.2%	yes
Sri Lanka	1.5%	—
Norway	1.0%	—
All other countries	1.7%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	54.6%	—
China	17.7%	—
Germany	7.3%	yes
Australia	4.2%	—
United States	3.7%	—
Netherlands	3.6%	—
All other countries	8.9%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	37.4%	—
China	36.9%	—
Mexico	11.6%	yes
Spain	4.6%	—
Germany	2.3%	yes
India	1.2%	yes
All other countries	5.9%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Angola	22.8%	yes
Canada	20.2%	—
Botswana	20.1%	—
Russian Federation	16.7%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	6.4%	yes
South Africa	4.8%	yes
All other countries	9.1%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	53.0%	—
United States	22.6%	—
Argentina	17.3%	yes
Brazil	4.7%	yes
Ecuador (at home)	1.1%	yes
Russian Federation	0.5%	yes
All other countries	0.7%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	98.9%	yes
Peru	0.4%	—
Chile	0.3%	—
France	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	74.9%	yes
Indonesia	8.1%	yes
Guatemala	6.2%	yes
Thailand	4.7%	yes
Colombia	1.8%	yes
Viet Nam	1.8%	—
All other countries	2.6%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	86.3%	yes
Argentina	9.6%	yes
India	1.3%	yes
Mexico	0.8%	yes
Thailand	0.8%	yes
Bolivia	0.5%	—
All other countries	0.8%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	99.8%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	99.5%	yes
United States	0.5%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	76.1%	yes
Colombia	12.6%	yes
Peru	5.1%	—
Brazil	3.0%	yes
Guatemala	2.2%	yes
Bolivia	0.6%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	37.1%	yes
Colombia	28.6%	yes
Ecuador (at home)	15.2%	yes
Honduras	7.6%	yes
Peru	3.1%	—
Uganda	2.8%	yes
All other countries	5.6%

Cocoa — 2001, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	91.4%	yes
Colombia	5.9%	yes
Peru	1.9%	yes
Thailand	0.5%	yes
Indonesia	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	73.7%	—
Ecuador (at home)	22.1%	yes
Mexico	3.9%	yes
Peru	0.2%	—
Burkina Faso	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	99.0%	yes
Colombia	0.3%	yes
Brazil	0.3%	yes
United States	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	99.2%	yes
Chile	0.5%	—
Argentina	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador (at home)	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama	39.6%
China	22.6%
United States	10.9%
Peru	7.4%
Japan	6.8%
Chile	4.1%
All other countries	8.5%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	99.9%
All other countries	0.1%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	95.7%
Chile	1.3%
Colombia	1.1%
Peru	0.6%
Uruguay	0.0%
Venezuela, RB	0.0%
All other countries	1.3%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	99.9%
All other countries	0.1%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	91.4%
Colombia	8.4%
All other countries	0.1%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	99.8%
All other countries	0.2%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	92.2%
United States	6.2%
Cayman Islands	0.0%
Bermuda	0.0%
Turks and Caicos Islands	0.0%
British Virgin Islands	0.0%
All other countries	1.6%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	69.1%
Chile	6.9%
All other countries	24.0%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Malaysia	18.8%
United States	15.0%
Indonesia	13.7%
Netherlands	10.6%
Germany	10.6%
Belgium	5.9%
All other countries	25.6%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	75.9%
Colombia	9.8%
United States	3.0%
Mexico	2.0%
Brazil	1.5%
Spain	0.8%
All other countries	7.0%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	99.9%
Bahamas, The	0.1%
All other countries	0.0%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	41.7%
India	35.5%
Poland	5.2%
Peru	1.5%
Mexico	1.1%
Costa Rica	0.1%
All other countries	14.9%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Dominican Republic	30.9%
Nicaragua	23.3%
Indonesia	5.7%
Germany	5.2%
United States	4.1%
Philippines	2.2%
All other countries	28.6%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Ecuador (at home)	99.9%
All other countries	0.1%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Ecuador