Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Libya, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: <0.1%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: <0.1%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: <0.1%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	2008–2024	14,003	2 (2024)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	66,186,010 t	1.6%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	12,101,814,407 m3	0.3%	reported
Wheat (2024)	90,000 t	0.0%	gap filled
Milk (2024)	225,578 t	0.0%	estimated
Maize (2024)	3,800 t	0.0%	gap filled
Livestock (2024)	178,860 t	0.1%	estimated
Timber (2024)	116,000 m3	0.0%	estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	1,226 t	0.0%	gap filled
Wood charcoal (2024)	121,314 t	0.2%	estimated
Agricultural land (2024)	15,350,000 ha	0.3%	gap filled
Forest (2025)	205,330 ha	0.0%	external
Fresh water (2023)	700,000,000 m3	0.1%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Libya (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Libya (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	42.8%	—
Turkiye	24.7%	yes
Germany	11.2%	yes
Russian Federation	10.8%	yes
Australia	4.9%	—
Colombia	2.9%	yes
All other countries	2.7%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	35.5%	yes
Madagascar	20.4%	—
Canada	15.0%	—
Australia	11.6%	—
Indonesia	6.1%	yes
Turkiye	5.6%	yes
All other countries	5.8%

Copper — 2011, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	61.8%	—
Peru	13.5%	yes
Russian Federation	9.8%	yes
Kazakhstan	8.2%	—
Poland	1.9%	—
Zambia	1.4%	—
All other countries	3.5%

Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	31.6%	—
Chile	28.8%	—
China	24.1%	—
Zimbabwe	6.9%	—
Argentina	6.0%	yes
Brazil	1.9%	yes
All other countries	0.8%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	46.2%	yes
Australia	30.1%	—
Indonesia	10.1%	yes
Canada	9.7%	—
New Caledonia	1.2%	—
Philippines	1.1%	yes
All other countries	1.5%

Tin — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	38.0%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	30.0%	yes
Brazil	7.1%	yes
Peru	6.7%	yes
Bolivia	5.1%	yes
China	3.6%	yes
All other countries	9.5%

Tantalum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	56.1%	—
Mozambique	16.8%	yes
Nigeria	7.1%	yes
Rwanda	6.6%	yes
Brazil	6.3%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	4.8%	yes
All other countries	2.3%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	77.0%	—
Bolivia	5.6%	—
Austria	5.3%	—
Spain	3.0%	—
Portugal	3.0%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.1%	—
All other countries	4.0%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	94.8%	yes
Chile	3.4%	—
Canada	1.6%	—
United States	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Bauxite — 2018, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guinea	39.3%	—
China	25.6%	—
India	13.2%	yes
Brazil	10.9%	yes
Australia	7.9%	yes
Indonesia	2.2%	yes
All other countries	0.8%

Rare earth elements — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	51.9%	yes
Australia	16.9%	—
Russian Federation	11.4%	yes
Myanmar	8.8%	yes
India	5.4%	yes
United States	4.4%	—
All other countries	1.4%

Silver — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	18.7%	—
Poland	16.1%	—
Mexico	11.9%	yes
China	9.7%	—
Australia	7.8%	—
Kazakhstan	7.2%	—
All other countries	28.5%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	29.3%	yes
Peru	26.4%	—
Kazakhstan	10.3%	—
United States	9.7%	—
Bolivia	6.6%	—
Australia	6.5%	—
All other countries	11.2%

Phosphate rock — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	99.4%	yes
Brazil	0.3%	yes
India	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	35.1%	yes
Gabon	26.9%	—
Australia	14.6%	—
Ghana	9.8%	yes
Brazil	7.2%	yes
China	4.7%	yes
All other countries	1.8%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	67.7%	—
Madagascar	10.2%	—
Mozambique	6.8%	yes
Brazil	6.4%	yes
Canada	5.2%	—
Norway	1.9%	—
All other countries	1.9%

Salt — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Egypt, Arab Rep.	43.5%	yes
Germany	13.5%	—
Pakistan	8.8%	yes
Italy	8.7%	—
Turkiye	6.6%	yes
Netherlands	5.6%	—
All other countries	13.3%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Turkiye	34.3%	yes
China	26.2%	—
Netherlands	14.6%	—
Spain	6.2%	—
United States	5.3%	—
Saudi Arabia	3.9%	—
All other countries	9.5%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Angola	23.4%	yes
Canada	20.2%	—
Botswana	19.2%	—
Russian Federation	16.9%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	6.6%	yes
Zimbabwe	4.4%	—
All other countries	9.2%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Libya (at home)	29.8%	yes
Romania	16.0%	—
Turkiye	14.9%	yes
Canada	12.5%	—
Ukraine	5.8%	yes
Greece	5.7%	—
All other countries	15.2%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Libya (at home)	37.0%	yes
New Zealand	20.9%	—
France	13.6%	yes
Netherlands	8.7%	—
Germany	6.7%	yes
Egypt, Arab Rep.	4.6%	—
All other countries	8.6%

Natural rubber — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	49.2%	yes
Indonesia	20.2%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	13.9%	—
Viet Nam	6.3%	—
Liberia	3.1%	—
Cambodia	1.5%	—
All other countries	5.8%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ukraine	95.5%	yes
Romania	1.9%	—
Libya (at home)	0.8%	yes
Turkiye	0.5%	yes
France	0.3%	yes
Serbia	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.7%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	32.9%	yes
Turkiye	28.8%	yes
China	24.2%	—
Greece	4.0%	—
Thailand	2.5%	yes
Pakistan	1.2%	yes
All other countries	6.5%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	50.0%	—
Brazil	32.6%	yes
Korea, Rep.	9.9%	—
Canada	4.1%	—
Russian Federation	1.3%	yes
China	1.3%	—
All other countries	0.8%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	53.2%	yes
Brazil	29.0%	yes
Ukraine	5.3%	yes
Poland	4.6%	—
France	2.6%	yes
Guatemala	1.4%	yes
All other countries	3.9%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	43.5%	yes
Brazil	42.1%	yes
Uganda	5.5%	yes
Viet Nam	2.0%	—
Indonesia	1.7%	yes
Colombia	1.1%	yes
All other countries	4.0%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ghana	86.4%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	5.8%	—
Ecuador	2.9%	yes
Nigeria	2.6%	yes
Peru	1.0%	—
Cameroon	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.8%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Malaysia	51.8%	—
Indonesia	47.7%	yes
Thailand	0.3%	yes
Papua New Guinea	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Egypt, Arab Rep.	42.5%	—
Brazil	19.6%	yes
Sudan	17.7%	yes
Burkina Faso	8.4%	yes
Turkiye	3.6%	yes
United States	3.2%	—
All other countries	5.1%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Libya (at home)	63.4%	yes
Brazil	25.6%	yes
Spain	3.5%	—
Romania	1.3%	—
United States	1.0%	—
France	0.8%	yes
All other countries	4.4%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Sweden	29.9%	—
Libya (at home)	22.3%	yes
Slovenia	14.0%	—
Finland	6.6%	—
Austria	4.8%	—
Germany	4.1%	yes
All other countries	18.3%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Libya (at home)	98.3%	yes
Pakistan	1.7%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Libya (at home)	95.2%	yes
Egypt, Arab Rep.	3.5%	—
China	0.7%	—
Indonesia	0.4%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Italy	21.7%
Germany	15.6%
Libya (at home)	10.8%
Spain	7.9%
Greece	7.9%
France	7.0%
All other countries	29.2%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	84.8%
Italy	11.5%
Turkiye	0.7%
Ukraine	0.5%
France	0.4%
Albania	0.4%
All other countries	1.7%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Libya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Libya