Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Panama, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: <0.1%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Coffee, one cup Part from here: <0.1%	4.7 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.19–1.2 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Roasted coffee Part from here: <0.1%	6.7 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.27–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: <0.1%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: <0.1%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cocoa butter Part from here: <0.1%	4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.1 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cocoa mass Part from here: <0.1%	4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.0 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: <0.1%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1989–2009	921	1 (2009)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1976–2024	1,885	19 (2024)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Milk (2024)	168,490 t	0.0%	reported
Maize (2024)	88,900 t	0.0%	gap filled
Rice (2024)	371,000 t	0.0%	reported
Soybeans (2024)	96 t	0.0%	estimated
Sugar (2024)	1,850,000 t	0.1%	reported
Coffee (2024)	6,318 t	0.1%	gap filled
Cocoa (2024)	291 t	0.0%	reported
Palm oil (2023)	74,000 t	0.1%	external
Livestock (2024)	301,415 t	0.1%	reported
Timber (2024)	407,000 m3	0.0%	estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	2,754 t	0.0%	gap filled
Wood charcoal (2024)	5,198 t	0.0%	estimated
Agricultural land (2024)	1,711,964 ha	0.0%	reported
Forest (2025)	4,614,610 ha	0.1%	external
Fresh water (2023)	759,100,000 m3	0.1%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ecuador	41.6%	yes
Colombia	29.9%	yes
Guyana	17.0%	—
United States	7.8%	—
Canada	2.0%	—
Argentina	0.5%	yes
All other countries	1.3%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	96.3%	—
Canada	2.0%	—
Trinidad and Tobago	0.6%	—
Azerbaijan	0.3%	—
Algeria	0.1%	yes
Nigeria	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.6%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Colombia	96.8%	yes
United States	2.2%	—
Peru	0.8%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	63.3%	yes
Australia	8.7%	—
Canada	8.3%	—
Madagascar	7.3%	—
Russian Federation	6.1%	yes
Turkiye	2.8%	yes
All other countries	3.5%

Copper — 2018, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	24.7%	yes
Chile	23.1%	—
Congo, Dem. Rep.	16.0%	yes
Russian Federation	14.3%	yes
Peru	8.6%	—
Zambia	4.7%	—
All other countries	8.7%

Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	30.2%	—
Chile	28.8%	—
China	23.1%	—
Argentina	8.3%	yes
Zimbabwe	5.7%	—
Brazil	2.2%	yes
All other countries	1.7%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	67.5%	—
Australia	14.9%	—
United States	8.2%	—
Brazil	2.8%	yes
Russian Federation	2.4%	yes
Indonesia	2.1%	yes
All other countries	2.0%

Gold — 2015, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	33.0%	yes
Australia	21.5%	—
Mexico	14.5%	yes
Peru	6.6%	yes
Canada	6.0%	—
Papua New Guinea	4.7%	—
All other countries	13.7%

Tin — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	42.5%	yes
Bolivia	17.6%	yes
Brazil	12.4%	yes
Peru	6.4%	yes
China	6.0%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	4.1%	yes
All other countries	11.0%

Tantalum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nigeria	22.0%	yes
Rwanda	20.7%	yes
Brazil	19.2%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	16.9%	yes
Australia	8.0%	—
Mozambique	5.3%	yes
All other countries	7.9%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	88.3%	—
Spain	4.7%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.4%	—
Rwanda	1.4%	yes
Bolivia	1.1%	—
Russian Federation	1.0%	yes
All other countries	1.1%

Iron ore — 2021, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mauritania	100.0%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Bauxite — 2021, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guinea	97.2%	yes
China	1.8%	—
Australia	0.5%	—
Indonesia	0.4%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	57.2%	—
China	37.4%	—
Myanmar	3.7%	yes
Australia	1.1%	—
India	0.2%	yes
Russian Federation	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Silver — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	44.4%	yes
United States	12.3%	yes
Chile	7.3%	—
Poland	7.0%	yes
Argentina	6.3%	yes
Peru	6.2%	yes
All other countries	16.6%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	64.8%	—
Australia	13.2%	—
Mexico	8.3%	yes
United States	5.9%	—
Bolivia	3.3%	—
India	3.2%	yes
All other countries	1.3%

Phosphate rock — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	51.3%	yes
Brazil	35.4%	yes
Tanzania	13.3%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2021, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Gabon	47.6%	—
South Africa	30.1%	yes
Australia	8.3%	—
China	3.4%	—
Mexico	3.2%	yes
Ghana	3.0%	—
All other countries	4.5%

Natural graphite — 2020, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	49.6%	—
Brazil	15.2%	yes
Canada	12.2%	—
Mozambique	9.4%	yes
Madagascar	7.8%	yes
Mexico	4.5%	yes
All other countries	1.3%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	30.9%	—
Netherlands	20.3%	—
Chile	17.1%	—
Germany	6.5%	yes
Spain	4.8%	—
Mexico	4.2%	yes
All other countries	16.3%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	81.0%	—
China	10.3%	—
Spain	1.7%	—
Turkiye	1.5%	yes
Mexico	1.4%	yes
Italy	1.0%	—
All other countries	3.1%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	22.1%	—
Botswana	21.9%	—
Angola	20.6%	yes
Russian Federation	13.3%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	7.3%	yes
South Africa	5.3%	yes
All other countries	9.6%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	74.1%	—
Canada	25.4%	—
Poland	0.3%	—
France	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	69.2%	—
United States	11.2%	—
Uruguay	8.8%	—
New Zealand	6.5%	—
Netherlands	2.0%	—
Belgium	0.5%	—
All other countries	1.8%

Natural rubber — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Cote d'Ivoire	57.8%	—
Guatemala	16.2%	yes
Thailand	12.0%	yes
Indonesia	5.8%	yes
Colombia	2.5%	yes
Viet Nam	1.2%	—
All other countries	4.4%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	78.7%	—
Panama (at home)	16.0%	—
Brazil	3.8%	yes
Argentina	0.3%	yes
Thailand	0.3%	yes
Mexico	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.6%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	69.9%	—
United States	15.1%	—
Uruguay	6.2%	—
Thailand	4.2%	yes
India	2.0%	yes
Brazil	1.2%	yes
All other countries	1.4%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	98.9%	—
Canada	0.4%	—
Panama (at home)	0.3%	—
Brazil	0.2%	yes
Argentina	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	98.6%	—
Brazil	0.4%	yes
Colombia	0.3%	yes
United States	0.2%	—
Peru	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	62.9%	—
Brazil	18.9%	yes
Colombia	7.3%	yes
Costa Rica	4.7%	yes
Peru	2.2%	—
Honduras	1.3%	yes
All other countries	2.8%

Cocoa — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	82.0%	—
Costa Rica	7.6%	—
Honduras	4.7%	yes
Ecuador	4.6%	yes
Guatemala	0.4%	yes
Nicaragua	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	86.8%	—
Colombia	7.1%	yes
Indonesia	2.4%	yes
Ecuador	1.7%	yes
Malaysia	1.3%	—
Peru	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	97.7%	—
China	0.9%	—
Spain	0.5%	—
Burkina Faso	0.3%	yes
Brazil	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	91.9%	—
United States	6.8%	—
Canada	0.4%	—
Brazil	0.2%	yes
Turkiye	0.2%	yes
Uruguay	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.5%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	83.3%	—
United States	7.3%	—
Honduras	3.0%	yes
Argentina	2.7%	yes
Canada	1.4%	—
Chile	0.7%	—
All other countries	1.5%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	98.6%	—
United States	0.5%	—
Brazil	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.6%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Panama (at home)	85.4%	—
Venezuela, RB	3.0%	yes
Mexico	3.0%	yes
China	1.3%	—
Colombia	1.2%	yes
Namibia	0.9%	—
All other countries	5.1%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama (at home)	93.4%
Guyana	5.1%
St. Lucia	0.2%
Bahamas, The	0.1%
Bermuda	0.1%
Barbados	0.0%
All other countries	1.2%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama (at home)	99.9%
Aruba	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama (at home)	100.0%
Bahamas, The	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
United States	48.5%
Panama (at home)	47.3%
Grenada	0.5%
Antigua and Barbuda	0.1%
Barbados	0.1%
Bahamas, The	0.0%
All other countries	3.5%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
China	21.2%
Japan	13.8%
Korea, Rep.	13.3%
Panama (at home)	4.8%
United Arab Emirates	3.0%
Saudi Arabia	3.0%
All other countries	40.9%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Costa Rica	21.8%
Russian Federation	15.4%
Estonia	11.8%
Belarus	8.0%
Argentina	3.3%
South Africa	0.2%
All other countries	39.5%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Mexico	46.4%
Panama (at home)	36.1%
Spain	3.6%
Germany	2.4%
Netherlands	1.9%
Poland	0.9%
All other countries	8.6%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama (at home)	99.2%
Cuba	0.2%
El Salvador	0.1%
Jamaica	0.1%
All other countries	0.4%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
India	57.6%
Panama (at home)	25.8%
Costa Rica	0.4%
Cyprus	0.1%
All other countries	16.2%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama (at home)	84.3%
Honduras	9.0%
Dominican Republic	2.3%
Nicaragua	1.4%
Belize	0.0%
Aruba	0.0%
All other countries	2.9%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Panama (at home)	90.0%
Italy	4.2%
Portugal	1.1%
Belgium	0.1%
Luxembourg	0.0%
All other countries	4.6%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Panama