Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Kenya, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Coffee, one cup Part from here: 0.88%	4.7 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.19–1.2 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Roasted coffee Part from here: 0.88%	6.7 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.27–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: 0.81%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: 0.67%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: 0.58%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: 0.54%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: 0.28%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: <0.1%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: <0.1%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton T-shirt Part from here: <0.1%	6.4 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.25–1.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton yarn Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Denim fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.8 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Jeans Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–8.0 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1989–2025	6,725	80 (2025)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1978–1989	1,603	159 (1989)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Wheat (2024)	312,200 t	0.0%	reported
Milk (2024)	6,971,200 t	0.7%	reported
Maize (2024)	4,023,000 t	0.3%	reported
Rice (2024)	282,152 t	0.0%	reported
Soybeans (2024)	17,417 t	0.0%	reported
Sugar (2024)	9,365,300 t	0.4%	reported
Coffee (2024)	49,500 t	0.4%	reported
Cotton (2024)	6,234 t	0.0%	reported
Livestock (2024)	551,069 t	0.2%	reported
Timber (2024)	969,000 m3	0.0%	estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	12,446 t	0.2%	gap filled
Wood charcoal (2024)	1,509,141 t	2.6%	estimated
Agricultural land (2024)	29,066,340 ha	0.6%	gap filled
Forest (2025)	3,913,810 ha	0.1%	external
Fresh water (2023)	626,743,000 m3	0.1%	reported

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United Arab Emirates	96.9%	—
Qatar	1.4%	—
Libya	1.1%	yes
Russian Federation	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	76.0%	—
Algeria	11.3%	yes
Argentina	4.0%	yes
Australia	2.7%	—
Canada	1.6%	—
Chile	1.3%	—
All other countries	3.1%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	77.7%	yes
Tanzania	21.0%	yes
Australia	0.7%	—
United States	0.2%	—
Russian Federation	0.1%	yes
Eswatini	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	35.9%	yes
Canada	23.2%	—
Madagascar	14.6%	—
Australia	13.1%	—
Indonesia	4.2%	yes
Turkiye	3.9%	yes
All other countries	5.1%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	18.9%	—
Indonesia	17.9%	yes
Canada	15.8%	—
Philippines	15.6%	yes
Russian Federation	15.5%	yes
Australia	12.4%	—
All other countries	4.0%

Gold — 2011, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	43.8%	—
Mexico	13.4%	yes
Canada	10.0%	—
Brazil	9.8%	yes
Peru	9.0%	yes
Chile	3.7%	—
All other countries	10.3%

Tin — 2018, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	51.7%	yes
Peru	9.0%	—
China	8.0%	—
Brazil	7.7%	yes
Nigeria	6.1%	yes
Bolivia	4.9%	—
All other countries	12.6%

Tantalum — 2013, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mozambique	82.3%	yes
Rwanda	8.9%	yes
Brazil	2.9%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	2.8%	yes
Nigeria	1.9%	yes
China	0.7%	—
All other countries	0.6%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	81.2%	—
Bolivia	5.6%	—
Austria	3.7%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.2%	—
Spain	2.1%	—
Portugal	2.1%	—
All other countries	3.0%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	81.1%	yes
South Africa	14.0%	yes
Brazil	2.7%	yes
Australia	0.9%	—
Sweden	0.6%	—
Chile	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guinea	48.2%	—
China	31.7%	—
Australia	12.5%	—
Brazil	6.7%	yes
Turkiye	0.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Rare earth elements — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	41.9%	yes
Russian Federation	28.9%	yes
United States	17.3%	—
Myanmar	7.1%	yes
India	2.9%	yes
Australia	1.1%	—
All other countries	0.9%

Silver — 2019, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	48.6%	yes
Mexico	15.0%	yes
Peru	10.0%	yes
Argentina	7.3%	—
Poland	4.7%	—
Bolivia	3.9%	—
All other countries	10.6%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	23.5%	yes
Mexico	21.5%	yes
Peru	19.7%	—
Australia	11.5%	—
Bolivia	10.0%	—
United States	9.0%	—
All other countries	4.8%

Phosphate rock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	97.0%	yes
India	3.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2017, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	32.8%	—
Australia	23.2%	—
China	20.0%	yes
Gabon	10.6%	—
Brazil	6.5%	yes
Ghana	5.4%	—
All other countries	1.5%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	44.7%	—
Madagascar	18.4%	—
Mozambique	11.0%	yes
India	9.2%	yes
Brazil	8.1%	yes
Norway	3.4%	—
All other countries	5.2%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	74.9%	yes
China	11.3%	—
France	4.2%	yes
Saudi Arabia	2.3%	—
Netherlands	2.1%	—
Germany	1.3%	yes
All other countries	3.9%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Tanzania	64.3%	yes
Russian Federation	11.0%	yes
Botswana	9.0%	—
Canada	5.4%	—
Angola	5.1%	yes
South Africa	2.3%	yes
All other countries	3.0%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	66.6%	yes
Kenya (at home)	17.4%	yes
Argentina	7.1%	yes
Canada	4.3%	—
Australia	1.8%	—
Uruguay	1.8%	—
All other countries	1.0%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	98.4%	yes
Uganda	1.4%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	67.5%	yes
Viet Nam	14.3%	—
Ghana	7.6%	yes
Cambodia	2.6%	—
Cote d'Ivoire	2.3%	—
Sri Lanka	1.8%	—
All other countries	4.0%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	95.1%	yes
Tanzania	2.7%	yes
Uganda	1.2%	yes
Zambia	0.7%	—
South Africa	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan	37.9%	yes
India	27.9%	yes
Kenya (at home)	21.5%	yes
Tanzania	6.1%	yes
Thailand	3.8%	yes
Korea, Rep.	2.3%	—
All other countries	0.5%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	47.0%	yes
Uganda	22.5%	yes
Ethiopia	17.3%	yes
Tanzania	12.5%	yes
Zambia	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	64.2%	yes
Brazil	18.7%	yes
Mauritius	4.6%	—
India	4.5%	yes
Uganda	3.2%	yes
Thailand	1.6%	yes
All other countries	3.3%

Coffee — 2014, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	98.8%	yes
Uganda	0.8%	yes
Tanzania	0.2%	yes
Rwanda	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Cocoa — 2001, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Uganda	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Malaysia	69.8%	—
Indonesia	25.7%	yes
Thailand	2.2%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	2.0%	—
Papua New Guinea	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	64.8%	yes
Uganda	19.7%	yes
Tanzania	14.5%	yes
South Africa	0.6%	yes
China	0.3%	—
United States	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	98.9%	yes
Tanzania	0.3%	yes
Uganda	0.3%	yes
Brazil	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	73.2%	yes
Tanzania	15.5%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	9.7%	yes
Uganda	0.9%	yes
All other countries	0.6%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	82.6%	yes
Zimbabwe	13.1%	—
Pakistan	2.1%	yes
India	1.1%	yes
Tanzania	0.4%	yes
Malawi	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Kenya (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.3%
All other countries	0.7%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.9%
Congo, Dem. Rep.	0.0%
Seychelles	0.0%
Congo, Rep.	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.8%
Uganda	0.1%
Rwanda	0.0%
Maldives	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.4%
All other countries	0.6%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.9%
Maldives	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.7%
Rwanda	0.0%
All other countries	0.3%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
United States	21.3%
Germany	6.4%
Korea, Rep.	6.2%
France	5.8%
Sweden	5.0%
Finland	4.7%
All other countries	50.6%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.5%
Somalia, Fed. Rep.	0.2%
Qatar	0.1%
South Sudan	0.1%
Malta	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	99.1%
South Sudan	0.1%
Bahrain	0.1%
Congo, Dem. Rep.	0.1%
Oman	0.1%
Madagascar	0.0%
All other countries	0.5%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	95.9%
Rwanda	4.0%
All other countries	0.2%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	90.1%
Netherlands	3.9%
Angola	2.4%
Sudan	0.3%
Cambodia	0.2%
Somalia, Fed. Rep.	0.1%
All other countries	3.1%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Kenya (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Kenya