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Semi-finished product · Metals

Steel

One kilogram of crude steel, world route mix

This page shows what the product is made of and where each figure comes from. It does not show a death toll. The toll is calculated from this list of materials, and will be published only once it has a range and the model has passed its test on past years.

Crude steel as the world makes it: about 70% by blast furnace and basic oxygen furnace, 30% by electric arc furnace, each route at worldsteel's own average inputs, weighted by those shares. Recycled steel is an input with no mine behind it here — the harm of making it was counted when it was first made. Rolling and finishing are not included.

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The human cost, per item

One item is one kilogram of crude steel, world route mix. Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Deaths

3.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Deaths per item: the rangeThe range that holds nine in ten of the runs, on a scale where each step is ten times the last: 1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹. The dot is the middle result; a figure graded indicative has none.10⁻¹⁰10⁻⁹10⁻⁸10⁻⁷

The product’s list of materials traces 77% of its weight to raw materials the model knows. The rest carries no harm in this method, which is why this method gives a floor.

Injuries

7.7 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.46–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Injuries per item: the rangeThe range that holds nine in ten of the runs, on a scale where each step is ten times the last: 0.46–1.4 × 10⁻⁷. The dot is the middle result; a figure graded indicative has none.10⁻⁸10⁻⁷10⁻⁶

The product’s list of materials traces 77% of its weight to raw materials the model knows. The rest carries no harm in this method, which is why this method gives a floor.

Deaths and injuries at work in these figures come from the 53 countries that reported work deaths and the 52 that reported work injuries for 2023.

Harm at work is counted as each country reports it to the UN’s labour statistics (ILOSTAT), and never estimated for a country that did not report: such a country is missing from that year, not counted as zero. So when two years’ figures differ, part of the difference can be a change in which countries reported. The model’s own year-to-year checks compare only countries that reported in both years.

Deaths: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Colombia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Ecuador, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, Rep., Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mauritius, Moldova, Mongolia, Netherlands, Norway, Panama, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russian Federation, Singapore, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sri Lanka, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Turkiye, Turkmenistan, United States, Uzbekistan

Injuries: Argentina, Australia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Colombia, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mauritius, Moldova, Mongolia, Netherlands, Norway, Panama, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Seychelles, Singapore, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sri Lanka, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, Turkiye, Turkmenistan, United States, Uzbekistan

The money method — per €1,000 spent

Two methods, never added together. The materials method counts only what the product’s list of materials reaches, so it is a floor. The money method counts the whole supply chain of the industry for each euro spent, so in principle it misses nothing — but it cannot see what this particular product is made of.

In words

This page gives the model's estimate, for the reference year 2023, of deaths and injuries attributed to the supply chain of steel, counted per kilogram of crude steel, under the Economic-embedded scenario. The figure is a floor and counts the production phase only. On the material route, which follows only the raw materials listed, deaths are 3.1 × 10⁻⁹ deaths per item(1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r and injuries are 7.7 × 10⁻⁸ injuries per item(0.46–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r. On the monetary route, which covers the whole industry chain, deaths are 7.0 × 10⁻⁶ deaths per €1,000 spent in its industry(0.46–1.1 × 10⁻⁵)MEDIUMS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r. That corresponds to one death for every 150 million – 590 million kilograms of crude steel.

By raw material, Iron ore has the largest share, 67%. By country, Ukraine has the largest share, 89%. By conflict, Russia - Ukraine has the largest share, 88%. Harm the run could not place is also among the largest entries in the conflict view, 4.9%. On the monetary route, Mining and quarrying has the largest share, 63%. These are separate views of the same total and do not link entries.

Written by an AI language model (claude-sonnet-5-5 (Claude Code; reviewed by claude-opus-5-5)) on 2026-10-14, from the figures on this page. It wrote no numbers itself: each number was put in by the page from the calculation, and any text that wrote a number of its own, or mentioned anything its evidence does not contain, was thrown away unseen.

In human terms

One death for every 150 million – 590 million items.

By the money method, about €91 million – €220 million of spending in its industry for each death.

Rounded so that it stays within the range, so the sentence never claims more than the range does.

Under each scenario

Five answers to how much of the harm counted in a place is linked to its economy. Same product, same year, same trade table: only the rule for linking harm to the economy changes.

Deaths per item under each scenarioEach line is one scenario’s range, on a scale where each step is ten times the last; the dot is its middle result.10⁻¹⁰10⁻⁹10⁻⁸10⁻⁷S-MAXEconomic-embeddedS-EVIDEvidence-weightedS-RESResource-onlyS-ARMSArms and resourcesS-CONSConservative

Where it comes from

By raw material — the materials method

By raw material — the materials methodEach bar is one contributor’s share of the deaths in this figure; the rest is grouped last.Iron ore — 67%Iron ore67%Coal and lignite — 33%Coal and lignite33%

By industry — the money method

By industry — the money methodEach bar is one contributor’s share of the deaths in this figure; the rest is grouped last.Mining and quarrying — 63%Mining and quarrying63%Manufacture of basic metals — 32%Manufacture of basic metals32%Land transport and transport via pipelines — 1.1%Land transport and transport …1.1%Water transport — 1.1%Water transport1.1%Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities — 0.46%Crop and animal production, h…0.46%Warehousing and support activities for transportation — 0.39%Warehousing and support activ…0.39%Forestry and logging — 0.33%Forestry and logging0.33%Air transport — 0.23%Air transport0.23%Everything else — 1.1%Everything else1.1%

Where the harm was counted

Where the harm was countedEach dot is a country, placed at its capital, sized by its share of the deaths in this figure.Ukraine 89%Brazil — 3.7%Turkiye — 1.8%Mexico — 1.4%Australia — 0.82%United States — 0.73%India — 0.50%Russian Federation — 0.46%Colombia — 0.31%Canada — 0.30%Germany — 0.15%Sweden — 0.12%Mongolia — 0.10%Mozambique — <0.1%Poland — <0.1%Bulgaria — <0.1%Indonesia — <0.1%Czechia — <0.1%Pakistan — <0.1%Mauritania — <0.1%Thailand — <0.1%Greece — <0.1%Myanmar — <0.1%Philippines — <0.1%Romania — <0.1%Niger — <0.1%Ethiopia — <0.1%Iran, Islamic Rep. — <0.1%Nigeria — <0.1%Afghanistan — <0.1%Venezuela, RB — <0.1%South Africa — <0.1%Slovenia — <0.1%Uzbekistan — <0.1%Korea, Rep. — <0.1%Hungary — <0.1%Peru — <0.1%Japan — <0.1%Slovak Republic — <0.1%Georgia — <0.1%China — <0.1%Eswatini — <0.1%Bangladesh — <0.1%Argentina — <0.1%Norway — <0.1%Armenia — <0.1%
Each circle is a country, at its capital, sized by its share of the deaths in this figure. The largest are named; point at or tap any other circle to see its name.
Every material, in full
By raw material — the materials method
MaterialShareDeaths per item
Iron ore 67%2.1 × 10⁻⁹
Coal and lignite 33%1.0 × 10⁻⁹

The chain, step by step

The largest step at each stage of the model. Each links to the full account, where every stage adds up to the headline figure.

  1. Steel
  2. Iron ore 67% of the figure
  3. Ukraine 89% of the figure
  4. Conflict and political violence 95% of the figure
  5. Russia - Ukraine 88% of the figure

The full breakdown →

Sources behind this figure

Every data file that went into this figure in this calculation, with the credit its licence asks for.

What this figure is not

Production phase only. Harm from using the product — driving the car, charging the phone — is not in this figure.

How to read these numbers →

Beside the most similar products

The two products whose deaths per kilogram are closest to this one’s, by the materials method.

Cite this figure

HumanToll 2026, run 2259, methodology v1.0. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/product/steel/

What it is made of

Each line is one part of one kilogram of crude steel, world route mix: how much of it goes in, how much had to be produced to get that much (some is wasted along the way), and where the figure comes from.

What it is made of
Component Quantity Source
Iron ore
ingredient 		1.13 kg worldsteel Association, Fact sheet: Steel and raw materials (2023) · medium
0.70 × 1,370 kg (BF-BOF) + 0.30 × 586 kg (EAF) per tonne of crude steel; route shares from the same fact sheet
Coal and lignite
energy 		591 g worldsteel Association, Fact sheet: Steel and raw materials (2023) · medium
0.70 × 780 kg metallurgical coal (BF-BOF) + 0.30 × 150 kg coal (EAF) per tonne
Limestone
ingredient 		215 g worldsteel Association, Fact sheet: Steel and raw materials (2023) · medium
0.70 × 270 kg + 0.30 × 88 kg per tonne; a flux that leaves as slag, so it adds no mass to the steel
Recycled steel (scrap)
ingredient 		301 g worldsteel Association, Fact sheet: Steel and raw materials (2023) · medium
0.70 × 125 kg (BF-BOF) + 0.30 × 710 kg (EAF) per tonne
Electricity, electric arc furnace route
energy 		0.690 MJ worldsteel Association, Fact sheet: Steel and raw materials (2023) · low
0.30 × 2.3 GJ per tonne; the fact sheet states no electricity for the BF-BOF route, so none is counted there

Down to raw materials

The whole chain worked out — everything one kilogram of crude steel, world route mix needs, through every product in between, with all the waste along the way included.

Down to raw materials
Input Per item
Coal and lignite 591 g
Iron ore 1.13 kg
Electricity, electric arc furnace route (not in the register) 0.690 MJ
Limestone (not in the register) 215 g
Recycled steel (scrap) (not in the register) 301 g

An input marked “not in the register” is counted by weight but is not yet linked to any supply chain. Services such as transport appear as the euros, or tonnes carried a kilometre, that the list of materials gives them.

How much of it is known in detail

100% of this product’s weight is listed in detail in its own list of materials.

Its whole chain uses 2.24 kg of materials, waste included. 77% of that is raw materials the model knows — the part it can trace harm to — 23% is inputs not yet on the list, and 0% is an openly stated remainder.

In the table of what industries buy from each other it belongs to “Manufacture of basic metals” (FIGARO industry C24).

In the table of what industries buy from each other it belongs to “Manufacture of basic iron and steel” (FIGARO industry C24A).

What uses it

Products whose own list of materials includes this one.

Sources

Products →

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