Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Germany, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Glass Part from here: 2.0%	2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.93–4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: 0.66%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: 0.64%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: 0.56%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: 0.41%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Steel Part from here: 0.15%	3.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Passenger car tyre Part from here: 0.15%	5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.27–1.1 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: <0.1%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Petrol car Part from here: <0.1%	9.5 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.55–1.7 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Electric car Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁵ per item(1.8–5.5 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Laptop Part from here: <0.1%	5.4 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.21–1.2 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion battery pack Part from here: <0.1%	6.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion cell Part from here: <0.1%	8.4 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.50–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Smartphone Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–6.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Printed circuit board assembly Part from here: <0.1%	1.6 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.60–3.4 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1989–2024	23	3 (2024)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1990–2024	33,731	361 (2024)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	1,599,830 t	0.0%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	4,127,919,054 m3	0.1%	reported
Coal and lignite (2024)	91,940,857 t	1.0%	reported
Natural graphite (2025)	140 t	0.0%	estimated
Salt (2025)	15,000,000 t	6.2%	estimated
Silica sand (2025)	9,200,000 t	2.3%	estimated
Wheat (2024)	18,526,700 t	2.3%	reported
Milk (2024)	33,801,091 t	3.5%	reported
Maize (2024)	5,010,500 t	0.4%	reported
Soybeans (2024)	131,800 t	0.0%	reported
Sugar (2024)	36,682,200 t	1.6%	reported
Livestock (2024)	6,447,780 t	1.9%	reported
Timber (2024)	47,296,313 m3	2.4%	reported
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2017)	6,218 t	0.1%	gap filled
Wood charcoal (2024)	30,000 t	0.1%	gap filled
Agricultural land (2024)	16,569,000 ha	0.4%	reported
Forest (2025)	11,481,400 ha	0.3%	external
Fresh water (2023)	9,546,195,000 m3	1.8%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Norway	21.0%	—
United States	16.6%	—
Libya	11.8%	yes
Kazakhstan	7.2%	—
Canada	5.4%	—
Guyana	4.9%	—
All other countries	33.1%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Norway	73.8%	—
United States	11.9%	—
Germany (at home)	6.5%	yes
Russian Federation	2.1%	yes
Qatar	1.3%	—
United Kingdom	1.2%	—
All other countries	3.2%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	71.4%	yes
Australia	13.6%	—
United States	10.6%	—
Colombia	1.5%	yes
South Africa	0.9%	yes
Canada	0.8%	—
All other countries	1.2%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	47.5%	yes
Australia	16.1%	—
Canada	13.0%	—
Madagascar	10.2%	—
Turkiye	5.0%	yes
Russian Federation	3.3%	yes
All other countries	4.9%

Copper — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	37.4%	—
Peru	16.3%	—
Poland	13.2%	—
Congo, Dem. Rep.	8.2%	yes
Indonesia	7.2%	yes
Australia	5.7%	—
All other countries	11.9%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	42.4%	yes
Australia	28.7%	—
Canada	19.1%	—
Indonesia	3.5%	yes
Brazil	2.3%	yes
China	1.4%	—
All other countries	2.5%

Gold — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	19.7%	yes
United States	11.2%	yes
Canada	10.5%	—
Australia	9.2%	—
Mexico	8.7%	yes
South Africa	8.1%	yes
All other countries	32.6%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bolivia	25.3%	—
Indonesia	24.0%	yes
Peru	19.4%	—
Brazil	17.8%	yes
Rwanda	4.9%	yes
China	2.4%	—
All other countries	6.1%

Tantalum — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	52.7%	yes
Rwanda	11.9%	—
Nigeria	10.0%	yes
Ethiopia	9.9%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	8.5%	yes
Mozambique	2.9%	yes
All other countries	4.2%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	72.5%	—
Austria	6.9%	—
Bolivia	6.2%	—
Spain	4.5%	—
Portugal	4.4%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.0%	—
All other countries	3.5%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	35.1%	—
South Africa	19.8%	yes
Sweden	16.7%	—
Brazil	16.3%	yes
United States	7.9%	—
Ukraine	2.3%	yes
All other countries	1.9%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guinea	94.0%	—
China	3.4%	—
Australia	1.3%	—
Turkiye	1.0%	yes
Brazil	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	75.9%	—
United States	9.0%	—
Myanmar	7.6%	yes
Australia	3.2%	—
India	1.9%	yes
Russian Federation	1.8%	yes
All other countries	0.5%

Silver — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	23.2%	yes
Poland	17.8%	—
Bolivia	12.3%	—
Australia	10.8%	—
Sweden	8.8%	—
Argentina	8.6%	yes
All other countries	18.4%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	40.4%	—
Sweden	22.6%	—
Mexico	12.2%	yes
Bolivia	9.2%	—
Australia	6.9%	—
United States	6.6%	—
All other countries	2.1%

Phosphate rock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	99.9%	yes
India	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	46.1%	yes
Gabon	23.2%	—
Australia	10.3%	—
Ghana	10.3%	yes
China	5.7%	—
Brazil	3.0%	yes
All other countries	1.3%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	53.6%	—
Madagascar	16.1%	—
Brazil	11.3%	yes
Mozambique	10.6%	yes
Norway	4.8%	—
Canada	1.9%	—
All other countries	1.7%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	85.0%	yes
Netherlands	9.3%	—
Spain	1.6%	—
United States	1.0%	—
France	0.7%	yes
Italy	0.4%	—
All other countries	2.0%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	81.4%	yes
United States	10.1%	—
Netherlands	3.2%	—
France	1.9%	yes
Poland	0.8%	—
Russian Federation	0.6%	yes
All other countries	2.0%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	23.3%	—
Botswana	20.3%	—
Angola	20.3%	yes
Russian Federation	13.4%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	7.6%	yes
South Africa	5.2%	yes
All other countries	10.0%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	71.4%	yes
Czechia	13.3%	—
Poland	5.6%	—
Hungary	2.9%	—
France	2.4%	yes
Slovak Republic	2.1%	—
All other countries	2.4%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	87.4%	yes
Netherlands	3.2%	—
Czechia	1.9%	—
Poland	1.8%	—
Austria	1.3%	—
Belgium	1.1%	—
All other countries	3.2%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	39.4%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	20.5%	—
Viet Nam	14.9%	—
Indonesia	10.1%	yes
Malaysia	3.4%	—
Cambodia	2.8%	—
All other countries	8.9%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	52.8%	yes
France	14.6%	yes
Poland	12.5%	—
Ukraine	7.7%	yes
Hungary	3.7%	—
Austria	2.4%	—
All other countries	6.3%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Italy	28.0%	—
India	17.4%	yes
Pakistan	15.9%	yes
Thailand	6.6%	yes
Myanmar	6.5%	yes
Cambodia	5.6%	—
All other countries	19.9%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	65.8%	—
Brazil	11.5%	yes
Ukraine	10.5%	yes
Germany (at home)	3.6%	yes
Austria	2.1%	—
Canada	1.3%	—
All other countries	5.2%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	76.8%	yes
France	6.0%	yes
Poland	5.3%	—
Brazil	2.2%	yes
Netherlands	1.5%	—
China	1.4%	—
All other countries	6.8%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	52.5%	yes
Uganda	6.5%	yes
Viet Nam	6.3%	—
Colombia	6.2%	yes
Ethiopia	5.4%	yes
Peru	5.1%	—
All other countries	18.0%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Cote d'Ivoire	48.1%	—
Ecuador	17.2%	yes
Cameroon	10.6%	yes
Ghana	9.2%	yes
Nigeria	8.4%	yes
Peru	2.0%	—
All other countries	4.5%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	41.0%	yes
Malaysia	28.7%	—
Guatemala	10.6%	yes
Papua New Guinea	6.8%	yes
Honduras	3.8%	yes
Costa Rica	3.5%	yes
All other countries	5.5%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	22.2%	—
Turkiye	16.1%	yes
Cameroon	13.0%	yes
Brazil	12.8%	yes
Kazakhstan	6.8%	—
Burkina Faso	5.4%	yes
All other countries	23.7%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	78.9%	yes
Netherlands	4.3%	—
Poland	3.4%	—
Denmark	3.3%	—
Belgium	2.2%	—
France	1.5%	yes
All other countries	6.4%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Germany (at home)	81.5%	yes
Sweden	2.5%	—
Poland	2.1%	—
Czechia	2.0%	—
Finland	1.9%	—
Austria	1.8%	—
All other countries	8.2%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	16.4%	yes
Brazil	13.3%	yes
Malawi	11.7%	—
Tanzania	8.5%	yes
United States	7.3%	—
Zimbabwe	6.8%	—
All other countries	35.9%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Namibia	19.2%	—
Germany (at home)	18.2%	yes
Ukraine	15.4%	yes
Poland	14.8%	—
Paraguay	6.0%	—
Indonesia	5.9%	yes
All other countries	20.6%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	99.7%
Luxembourg	0.0%
All other countries	0.3%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	96.5%
Switzerland	1.2%
Tanzania	0.2%
Denmark	0.1%
Sweden	0.0%
Slovenia	0.0%
All other countries	2.0%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	97.9%
Poland	0.4%
Spain	0.4%
Austria	0.3%
Belgium	0.2%
Czechia	0.2%
All other countries	0.7%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	54.6%
Italy	4.7%
Sweden	4.4%
Romania	1.1%
Switzerland	1.0%
Slovak Republic	0.9%
All other countries	33.2%

Salt — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	70.2%
Czechia	3.3%
Belgium	2.8%
Sweden	2.7%
Poland	2.7%
France	2.6%
All other countries	15.6%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	69.3%
Netherlands	9.6%
Switzerland	3.5%
Italy	3.0%
France	1.6%
Luxembourg	1.6%
All other countries	11.4%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	65.7%
Netherlands	7.7%
United Kingdom	5.6%
Belgium	4.1%
Morocco	2.7%
Angola	1.6%
All other countries	12.6%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	84.7%
Netherlands	2.6%
Italy	1.8%
France	1.0%
Poland	0.9%
China	0.9%
All other countries	8.0%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	86.2%
Netherlands	3.5%
France	1.3%
Italy	1.3%
Belarus	0.9%
Austria	0.9%
All other countries	5.9%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	97.7%
Denmark	0.4%
Israel	0.3%
Czechia	0.2%
Sweden	0.1%
Poland	0.0%
All other countries	1.3%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	40.0%
Italy	23.2%
Switzerland	4.4%
Belgium	4.2%
Greece	3.6%
Romania	3.1%
All other countries	21.5%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	78.4%
Italy	4.0%
Netherlands	2.0%
Austria	1.7%
France	1.5%
Poland	1.4%
All other countries	11.1%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	54.8%
United States	7.6%
China	5.3%
Austria	3.6%
Italy	2.9%
Netherlands	2.8%
All other countries	22.9%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2017, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	44.2%
Poland	9.2%
Romania	5.5%
Switzerland	4.9%
Iran, Islamic Rep.	4.4%
Nigeria	3.4%
All other countries	28.5%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Germany (at home)	76.0%
Netherlands	6.3%
France	4.8%
Austria	1.9%
United Kingdom	1.7%
Switzerland	1.6%
All other countries	7.7%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2026-20260206	2026-09-29	`582a0aa231aea53d…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2026-20260206, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/file/get/69837e43b66b01367d7ec7c7?f=__disk__d3%2Fac%2F84%2Fd3ac8466552946c5e8caa2c2c6338d9e1aff655d. Licensed under Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal (public domain dedication) (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/).
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Germany