Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Guatemala, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Coffee, one cup Part from here: 0.24%	4.7 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.19–1.2 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Roasted coffee Part from here: 0.24%	6.7 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.27–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: 0.21%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Glass Part from here: 0.17%	2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.93–4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: 0.16%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
NMC cathode powder Part from here: 0.10%	1.4 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.71–3.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion cell Part from here: <0.1%	8.4 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.50–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion battery pack Part from here: <0.1%	6.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Electric car Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁵ per item(1.8–5.5 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: <0.1%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cocoa butter Part from here: <0.1%	4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.1 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cocoa mass Part from here: <0.1%	4.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.16–1.0 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: <0.1%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton T-shirt Part from here: <0.1%	6.4 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.25–1.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton yarn Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Denim fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.8 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Jeans Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–8.0 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Printed circuit board assembly Part from here: <0.1%	1.6 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.60–3.4 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Smartphone Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–6.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Laptop Part from here: <0.1%	5.4 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.21–1.2 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Petrol car Part from here: <0.1%	9.5 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.55–1.7 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: <0.1%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1989–2025	2,986	38 (2025)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1976–2022	4,311	2 (2022)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	274,538 t	0.0%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	72,191,157 m3	0.0%	reported
Nickel (2017)	53,700 t	2.7%	not stated
Silica sand (2020)	1,900,000 t	0.9%	not stated
Wheat (2024)	762 t	0.0%	gap filled
Milk (2024)	542,686 t	0.1%	estimated
Natural rubber (2024)	95,800 t	0.6%	gap filled
Maize (2024)	2,261,090 t	0.2%	reported
Rice (2024)	31,700 t	0.0%	estimated
Soybeans (2024)	45,000 t	0.0%	external
Sugar (2024)	22,907,870 t	1.0%	gap filled
Coffee (2024)	224,860 t	2.0%	reported
Cocoa (2024)	11,701 t	0.2%	estimated
Palm oil (2023)	933,926 t	1.2%	reported
Cotton (2024)	2,621 t	0.0%	estimated
Livestock (2024)	750,800 t	0.2%	gap filled
Timber (2024)	2,945,000 m3	0.2%	reported
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	30,621 t	0.5%	estimated
Wood charcoal (2024)	20,281 t	0.0%	reported
Agricultural land (2024)	4,933,930 ha	0.1%	gap filled
Forest (2025)	3,535,650 ha	0.1%	external
Fresh water (2023)	835,000,000 m3	0.2%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	99.7%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	89.6%	—
Guatemala (at home)	5.1%	yes
Trinidad and Tobago	2.8%	—
Canada	1.9%	—
Equatorial Guinea	0.2%	—
Nigeria	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Colombia	82.8%	yes
United States	16.4%	—
Peru	0.3%	—
Mexico	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	43.4%	yes
Australia	15.8%	—
Madagascar	13.5%	—
Canada	13.4%	—
Turkiye	4.6%	yes
Indonesia	3.8%	yes
All other countries	5.4%

Copper — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	34.8%	—
United States	20.7%	—
Congo, Dem. Rep.	14.7%	yes
Peru	12.8%	—
Indonesia	8.1%	yes
Canada	2.3%	—
All other countries	6.5%

Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	30.0%	—
Australia	29.3%	—
China	21.2%	—
Argentina	10.2%	yes
Zimbabwe	5.0%	—
Brazil	2.5%	yes
All other countries	1.9%

Nickel — 2017, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Gold — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	52.0%	—
Mexico	15.6%	yes
Canada	15.4%	—
Brazil	4.0%	yes
Australia	4.0%	—
Peru	3.4%	—
All other countries	5.7%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	40.4%	—
China	18.3%	—
Indonesia	11.4%	yes
Brazil	9.4%	yes
Bolivia	8.7%	—
Congo, Dem. Rep.	5.5%	yes
All other countries	6.2%

Tantalum — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	32.9%	yes
Rwanda	23.2%	yes
Australia	14.2%	—
Nigeria	8.9%	yes
China	7.7%	—
Brazil	6.6%	yes
All other countries	6.6%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	82.2%	—
Bolivia	5.8%	—
Spain	2.2%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.2%	—
Portugal	2.1%	—
Austria	1.9%	—
All other countries	3.6%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	45.8%	—
United States	32.1%	—
Brazil	19.1%	yes
Mauritania	1.5%	yes
Mexico	0.7%	yes
Sweden	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Jamaica	40.3%	yes
Australia	17.0%	—
Guinea	15.6%	—
Turkiye	13.1%	yes
China	9.8%	—
Brazil	4.2%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	44.0%	—
United States	25.2%	—
India	23.2%	yes
Myanmar	4.4%	yes
Australia	1.8%	—
Russian Federation	1.0%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Silver — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	52.1%	yes
United States	10.4%	—
Peru	7.3%	—
China	7.0%	—
Bolivia	4.1%	—
Chile	4.1%	—
All other countries	15.0%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	63.3%	yes
Peru	29.0%	—
United States	2.9%	—
Australia	2.8%	—
Bolivia	1.0%	—
India	0.5%	yes
All other countries	0.5%

Phosphate rock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	88.8%	yes
Brazil	11.2%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	44.0%	yes
Gabon	23.4%	—
Ghana	11.8%	yes
Australia	11.0%	—
China	6.6%	—
Brazil	1.6%	yes
All other countries	1.5%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	60.6%	—
Mozambique	9.1%	yes
Madagascar	9.0%	—
Brazil	7.4%	yes
Mexico	6.1%	yes
Canada	5.0%	—
All other countries	2.8%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	51.5%	—
Mexico	35.8%	yes
United States	3.1%	—
Turkiye	1.8%	yes
United Kingdom	1.8%	—
China	1.5%	—
All other countries	4.5%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	53.0%	—
China	28.3%	—
Mexico	12.6%	yes
India	1.2%	yes
Spain	1.0%	—
Italy	0.9%	—
All other countries	2.9%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Angola	25.3%	yes
Canada	18.0%	—
Botswana	18.0%	—
Russian Federation	16.4%	yes
South Africa	6.3%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	5.8%	yes
All other countries	10.2%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	51.1%	—
United States	44.9%	—
Mexico	2.7%	yes
Argentina	0.9%	yes
Poland	0.2%	—
France	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	67.3%	yes
Costa Rica	10.0%	yes
New Zealand	10.0%	—
United States	5.1%	—
Honduras	1.9%	yes
Mexico	1.8%	yes
All other countries	3.9%

Natural rubber — 2016, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	99.8%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	56.0%	yes
United States	26.1%	—
Brazil	11.5%	yes
Argentina	4.8%	yes
Mexico	1.2%	yes
Paraguay	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	43.9%	—
Brazil	15.6%	yes
Thailand	13.4%	yes
Guatemala (at home)	12.8%	yes
India	5.7%	yes
Paraguay	2.0%	—
All other countries	6.7%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	98.6%	yes
United States	0.7%	—
Paraguay	0.6%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	99.1%	yes
Ecuador	0.7%	yes
Honduras	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	93.9%	yes
Honduras	2.0%	yes
Indonesia	1.3%	yes
Peru	1.2%	yes
Mexico	0.5%	yes
Costa Rica	0.4%	yes
All other countries	0.7%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	98.3%	—
Guatemala (at home)	1.2%	yes
Burkina Faso	0.2%	yes
Turkiye	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	87.1%	yes
United States	11.0%	—
Canada	0.4%	—
Costa Rica	0.3%	yes
Dominican Republic	0.2%	—
Australia	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.8%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	88.0%	yes
Chile	4.4%	—
Brazil	3.3%	yes
Uruguay	1.6%	—
Argentina	1.1%	yes
United States	1.1%	—
All other countries	0.6%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guatemala (at home)	96.6%	yes
Paraguay	2.2%	—
United States	0.6%	—
China	0.3%	—
Honduras	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	52.1%
Belize	0.1%
All other countries	47.8%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	84.0%
El Salvador	8.2%
Honduras	3.9%
Nicaragua	1.9%
All other countries	1.9%

Nickel — 2017, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	81.4%
Ukraine	8.9%
North Macedonia	3.9%
China	3.7%
Greece	2.0%
India	0.1%
All other countries	0.1%

Silica sand — 2020, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	98.8%
Costa Rica	0.6%
El Salvador	0.1%
Honduras	0.1%
Nicaragua	0.1%
Panama	0.1%
All other countries	0.1%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
All other countries	100.0%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	99.6%
El Salvador	0.2%
Belize	0.1%
Nicaragua	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Mexico	42.4%
United States	15.3%
Chile	12.5%
Costa Rica	9.4%
Brazil	6.7%
Colombia	2.3%
All other countries	11.3%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	99.6%
El Salvador	0.2%
Belize	0.1%
Grenada	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	99.0%
All other countries	1.0%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	99.7%
El Salvador	0.0%
All other countries	0.3%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	33.0%
United States	20.2%
Mexico	9.0%
Chile	8.4%
Peru	5.0%
Canada	2.4%
All other countries	22.0%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
United States	44.5%
Japan	10.0%
Canada	8.9%
Korea, Rep.	5.9%
France	3.8%
Belgium	2.8%
All other countries	24.1%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	94.1%
Norway	0.0%
Sweden	0.0%
Lebanon	0.0%
Denmark	0.0%
Honduras	0.0%
All other countries	5.8%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Consumed in	Share
Spain	15.9%
Mexico	14.2%
Netherlands	12.2%
Germany	11.2%
Italy	7.1%
Belgium	6.4%
All other countries	33.0%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	99.2%
All other countries	0.8%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	99.4%
El Salvador	0.5%
All other countries	0.1%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	92.0%
India	2.8%
El Salvador	2.4%
Netherlands	0.4%
Honduras	0.4%
St. Lucia	0.0%
All other countries	2.0%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	41.6%
United States	10.0%
Poland	9.2%
Germany	6.5%
Turkiye	3.5%
Dominican Republic	3.1%
All other countries	26.2%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Guatemala (at home)	99.7%
All other countries	0.3%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2019-PDF	2026-10-06	`a84bd40f55d775e3…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2022-PDF	2026-10-06	`9d0bc40407a5e976…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
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