Two directions on one page: the harm recorded where people live and work here, and the supply chains that connect this country to harm recorded somewhere else.
This page shows recorded deaths, production, and shares traced through trade. It does not show the death toll behind what this country uses. That number is calculated, and stays unpublished until it has a range and the model has passed its test on past years.
Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Nigeria, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.
Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.
Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
6.9 × 10⁻⁸per item(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.
Recorded here
Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.
The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.
What it produces
Material
Produced
Share of recorded production
Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)
80,115,185 t
1.9%
gap filled
Natural gas (2024)
39,089,108,791 m3
0.9%
reported
Coal and lignite (2024)
1,262,105 t
0.0%
reported
Tin (2025)
3,500 t
1.2%
estimated
Tantalum (2025)
390 t
15.7%
estimated
Rare earth elements (2025)
1,500 t
0.4%
estimated
Wheat (2024)
43,927 t
0.0%
gap filled
Milk (2024)
527,765 t
0.1%
estimated
Natural rubber (2024)
65,300 t
0.4%
gap filled
Maize (2024)
11,164,000 t
0.9%
external
Rice (2024)
9,129,900 t
1.1%
reported
Soybeans (2024)
1,150,000 t
0.3%
external
Sugar (2024)
1,509,133 t
0.1%
estimated
Coffee (2024)
1,809 t
0.0%
estimated
Cocoa (2024)
350,000 t
6.7%
gap filled
Palm oil (2023)
1,460,000 t
1.8%
external
Cotton (2024)
223,000 t
0.3%
gap filled
Livestock (2024)
1,501,136 t
0.4%
gap filled
Timber (2024)
10,022,000 m3
0.5%
estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)
5,578 t
0.1%
estimated
Wood charcoal (2024)
5,070,290 t
8.7%
estimated
Agricultural land (2024)
70,208,390 ha
1.5%
gap filled
Forest (2025)
17,129,960 ha
0.4%
external
Fresh water (2023)
5,000,000,000 m3
0.9%
gap filled
Where what it consumes is produced
For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.
Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
97.2%
yes
United States
2.0%
—
Canada
0.5%
—
All other countries
0.3%
Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
96.7%
yes
United States
2.5%
—
Equatorial Guinea
0.5%
—
All other countries
0.3%
Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
98.5%
yes
China
1.2%
—
Indonesia
0.2%
yes
All other countries
0.2%
Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.
63.0%
yes
Australia
9.2%
—
Canada
8.3%
—
Madagascar
7.9%
—
Turkiye
4.7%
yes
Indonesia
2.7%
yes
All other countries
4.2%
Lithium — 2022, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Australia
37.6%
—
Chile
35.2%
—
China
23.2%
—
Argentina
2.2%
yes
Brazil
0.8%
yes
Zimbabwe
0.5%
—
All other countries
0.4%
Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Canada
29.2%
—
Russian Federation
22.3%
yes
Australia
17.7%
—
Indonesia
14.2%
yes
Brazil
7.1%
yes
China
3.6%
—
All other countries
6.0%
Tin — 2023, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
98.9%
yes
China
0.6%
yes
Indonesia
0.2%
yes
All other countries
0.2%
Tantalum — 2020, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
yes
All other countries
0.0%
Tungsten — 2022, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
China
96.7%
—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.
2.1%
—
Rwanda
0.4%
yes
Bolivia
0.3%
—
Spain
0.2%
—
All other countries
0.3%
Iron ore — 2021, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
South Africa
35.8%
yes
Brazil
22.6%
yes
Canada
17.7%
—
Sweden
15.3%
—
Russian Federation
4.2%
yes
United States
2.1%
—
All other countries
2.4%
Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Guinea
50.7%
—
China
34.5%
—
Australia
13.6%
—
Turkiye
0.9%
yes
Brazil
0.3%
yes
All other countries
0.1%
Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
95.5%
yes
China
2.9%
—
United States
1.0%
—
Myanmar
0.3%
yes
India
0.1%
yes
All other countries
0.1%
Silver — 2011, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Peru
25.1%
yes
Mexico
22.1%
yes
Bolivia
11.9%
—
Australia
7.9%
—
Poland
7.9%
—
Chile
6.3%
—
All other countries
18.8%
Zinc — 2019, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
India
24.1%
yes
Sweden
19.4%
—
Peru
18.5%
yes
Bolivia
11.8%
—
Mexico
9.4%
yes
Australia
5.7%
—
All other countries
11.1%
Phosphate rock — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Brazil
96.9%
yes
India
3.1%
yes
All other countries
0.0%
Manganese — 2013, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Myanmar
37.5%
yes
South Africa
28.6%
—
Australia
12.4%
—
China
12.1%
—
Gabon
5.2%
—
Ghana
1.6%
—
All other countries
2.6%
Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
China
71.4%
—
India
10.6%
yes
Madagascar
9.0%
—
Mozambique
4.6%
yes
Tanzania
3.1%
yes
Brazil
0.4%
yes
All other countries
0.9%
Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Brazil
67.3%
yes
Chile
12.9%
—
Netherlands
3.9%
—
Pakistan
3.2%
yes
Germany
3.2%
yes
United Kingdom
2.6%
—
All other countries
6.8%
Silica sand — 2023, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
India
60.2%
yes
Netherlands
16.2%
—
Germany
5.8%
—
United States
4.7%
—
China
3.2%
yes
France
2.8%
yes
All other countries
7.1%
Natural diamonds (rough) — 2019, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Russian Federation
33.4%
yes
Botswana
17.2%
—
South Africa
13.9%
yes
Canada
13.0%
—
Angola
7.7%
yes
Australia
6.0%
—
All other countries
8.9%
Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Lithuania
23.1%
—
Poland
22.6%
—
Latvia
14.9%
—
Canada
13.5%
—
Russian Federation
8.1%
yes
United States
7.4%
—
All other countries
10.4%
Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
49.4%
yes
New Zealand
22.8%
—
Netherlands
5.5%
—
Germany
4.6%
yes
France
3.6%
yes
United Kingdom
3.1%
—
All other countries
11.0%
Natural rubber — 2020, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
90.7%
yes
Thailand
3.7%
yes
Indonesia
1.7%
yes
Viet Nam
1.0%
—
Cote d'Ivoire
0.9%
yes
India
0.4%
yes
All other countries
1.5%
Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
94.2%
yes
Argentina
3.0%
yes
Brazil
1.7%
yes
Ukraine
0.4%
yes
Serbia
0.3%
—
South Africa
0.1%
yes
All other countries
0.3%
Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
98.1%
yes
India
1.2%
yes
Thailand
0.6%
yes
All other countries
0.1%
Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
95.0%
yes
United States
4.8%
—
Brazil
0.1%
yes
All other countries
0.1%
Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Brazil
90.6%
yes
Nigeria (at home)
9.0%
yes
France
0.1%
yes
All other countries
0.3%
Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
66.4%
yes
Uganda
9.5%
yes
Brazil
8.0%
yes
India
4.4%
yes
China
2.4%
—
Colombia
1.7%
yes
All other countries
7.6%
Cocoa — 2022, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
yes
All other countries
0.0%
Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
76.4%
yes
Malaysia
15.8%
—
Indonesia
5.2%
yes
Ghana
1.3%
yes
Cote d'Ivoire
1.0%
—
All other countries
0.4%
Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
99.9%
yes
All other countries
0.1%
Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
99.8%
yes
Niger
0.1%
yes
All other countries
0.1%
Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
98.2%
yes
China
1.1%
—
Russian Federation
0.1%
yes
All other countries
0.6%
Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
27.6%
yes
Brazil
16.9%
yes
Uganda
13.9%
yes
India
12.8%
yes
Zimbabwe
6.0%
—
Tanzania
3.9%
yes
All other countries
18.9%
Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in
Share
War recorded
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
yes
All other countries
0.0%
“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.
Where what it produces is consumed
For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.
Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Spain
11.6%
United States
10.5%
France
10.3%
India
10.1%
South Africa
5.9%
Indonesia
5.4%
All other countries
46.2%
Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
32.8%
India
11.9%
China
10.7%
Spain
7.2%
Korea, Rep.
5.0%
Portugal
4.0%
All other countries
28.4%
Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
67.3%
Niger
18.0%
Benin
11.7%
Senegal
2.9%
All other countries
0.0%
Tin — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
China
59.4%
Japan
10.9%
Korea, Rep.
5.3%
India
5.1%
Malaysia
2.9%
Thailand
2.2%
All other countries
14.2%
Tantalum — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
China
78.3%
Malaysia
4.2%
Korea, Rep.
4.2%
Mexico
2.4%
India
1.9%
United States
1.9%
All other countries
7.2%
Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
85.6%
United Kingdom
7.8%
North Macedonia
2.2%
Poland
0.2%
Spain
0.1%
Switzerland
0.1%
All other countries
3.9%
Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
All other countries
0.0%
Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
All other countries
0.0%
Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
United States
14.6%
Spain
12.7%
Italy
12.2%
India
10.2%
South Africa
8.7%
Poland
7.1%
All other countries
34.6%
Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
Niger
0.0%
All other countries
0.0%
Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
All other countries
0.0%
Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
64.8%
Pakistan
24.0%
India
8.0%
Turkiye
0.6%
Canada
0.4%
Algeria
0.1%
All other countries
1.9%
Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
91.9%
Ghana
1.0%
Niger
0.7%
All other countries
6.5%
Coffee — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
98.2%
Niger
0.0%
All other countries
1.7%
Cocoa — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Netherlands
31.1%
Malaysia
29.1%
Germany
9.4%
Belgium
5.7%
Indonesia
4.9%
Singapore
4.8%
All other countries
15.0%
Palm oil — 2023, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
99.9%
Niger
0.0%
Canada
0.0%
Chad
0.0%
All other countries
0.1%
Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
91.3%
Bangladesh
3.2%
Pakistan
2.6%
Thailand
0.4%
Portugal
0.1%
Tunisia
0.1%
All other countries
2.3%
Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
All other countries
0.0%
Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
98.1%
Thailand
0.2%
Niger
0.0%
Qatar
0.0%
All other countries
1.7%
Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
100.0%
Benin
0.0%
All other countries
0.0%
Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in
Share
Nigeria (at home)
97.9%
Saudi Arabia
0.2%
Lebanon
0.2%
Korea, Rep.
0.2%
Portugal
0.2%
Kuwait
0.1%
All other countries
1.2%
The number this page does not show
The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.
The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.
Sources
Sources
Version of the data
Downloaded
File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1
2026-09-10
8c941d84954e555e…
ilostat · fatal-20261006
2026-10-06
700fa580091e41e7…
eia · intl-20261003
2026-10-06
9251a5920ebe7044…
usgs_mcs · MCS2026-20260206
2026-09-29
582a0aa231aea53d…
faostat · qcl-20251231
2026-09-29
c5835418c18f9322…
faostat · fo-20260109
2026-09-29
c2f7fc99651f620b…
faostat · rl-20261002
2026-10-06
39b739fbfb694971…
aquastat · ds-20260713
2026-10-06
3bca93e1d4430099…
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130
2026-09-29
43259580059fa83e…
CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2026-20260206, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/file/get/69837e43b66b01367d7ec7c7?f=__disk__d3%2Fac%2F84%2Fd3ac8466552946c5e8caa2c2c6338d9e1aff655d. Licensed under Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal (public domain dedication) (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/).
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.