Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Pakistan, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: 4.6%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton fabric Part from here: 4.2%	3.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton T-shirt Part from here: 4.2%	6.4 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.25–1.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton yarn Part from here: 4.2%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Denim fabric Part from here: 4.2%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.8 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Jeans Part from here: 4.2%	3.2 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–8.0 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: 2.8%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: 2.7%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: 2.3%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: 2.0%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: 0.25%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Steel Part from here: <0.1%	3.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Passenger car tyre Part from here: <0.1%	5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.27–1.1 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion cell Part from here: <0.1%	8.4 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.50–1.7 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion battery pack Part from here: <0.1%	6.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Electric car Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁵ per item(1.8–5.5 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Petrol car Part from here: <0.1%	9.5 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.55–1.7 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Laptop Part from here: <0.1%	5.4 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.21–1.2 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Smartphone Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–6.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Printed circuit board assembly Part from here: <0.1%	1.6 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.60–3.4 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1989–2025	50,685	3,331 (2025)
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1977–2002	2,483	110 (2002)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	2,796,362 t	0.1%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	24,125,624,811 m3	0.6%	reported
Coal and lignite (2024)	15,075,234 t	0.2%	reported
Natural graphite (2019)	14,000 t	1.3%	not stated
Salt (2025)	3,100,000 t	1.3%	estimated
Wheat (2024)	31,814,444 t	4.0%	reported
Milk (2024)	66,670,700 t	6.8%	reported
Maize (2024)	9,200,000 t	0.8%	external
Rice (2024)	14,585,231 t	1.8%	reported
Soybeans (2024)	3 t	0.0%	reported
Sugar (2024)	84,268,665 t	3.8%	reported
Cotton (2024)	3,500,618 t	4.9%	reported
Livestock (2024)	5,815,787 t	1.7%	reported
Timber (2024)	4,060,000 m3	0.2%	estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	184,982 t	3.1%	reported
Wood charcoal (2024)	97,910 t	0.2%	estimated
Agricultural land (2024)	36,389,000 ha	0.8%	gap filled
Forest (2025)	3,192,460 ha	0.1%	external
Fresh water (2023)	9,650,000,000 m3	1.8%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Saudi Arabia	45.0%	—
United Arab Emirates	28.7%	—
Pakistan (at home)	24.6%	yes
Qatar	1.3%	—
United States	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	65.8%	yes
Qatar	24.5%	—
Iran, Islamic Rep.	4.8%	yes
Nigeria	2.1%	yes
Iraq	1.7%	yes
United States	0.5%	—
All other countries	0.7%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	70.4%	yes
South Africa	15.2%	yes
Indonesia	4.6%	yes
Tanzania	3.9%	yes
Afghanistan	3.6%	yes
United States	1.8%	—
All other countries	0.5%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	63.9%	yes
Canada	19.0%	—
Madagascar	5.9%	—
Australia	4.5%	—
Indonesia	2.5%	yes
Russian Federation	1.5%	yes
All other countries	2.7%

Lithium — 2021, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	42.8%	—
Chile	26.6%	—
China	23.1%	—
Argentina	6.3%	—
Brazil	0.5%	yes
Zimbabwe	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	52.2%	—
Canada	17.9%	—
New Caledonia	12.4%	—
Indonesia	6.0%	yes
Philippines	3.5%	yes
Russian Federation	3.4%	yes
All other countries	4.7%

Gold — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	35.4%	—
Canada	17.0%	—
Mexico	11.6%	yes
Russian Federation	8.5%	yes
Australia	5.7%	—
Brazil	4.8%	yes
All other countries	17.0%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	34.6%	yes
Malaysia	31.3%	—
Australia	9.4%	—
Nigeria	7.2%	yes
China	5.0%	—
Rwanda	4.8%	yes
All other countries	7.7%

Tantalum — 2010, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mozambique	79.9%	yes
Brazil	13.5%	yes
Rwanda	6.6%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	74.8%	—
Bolivia	9.8%	—
Portugal	3.6%	—
Austria	3.0%	—
Spain	2.7%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.0%	—
All other countries	4.0%

Iron ore — 2015, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	44.5%	yes
South Africa	39.8%	—
Iran, Islamic Rep.	12.4%	yes
Sweden	2.0%	—
India	0.6%	yes
Canada	0.6%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Bauxite — 2012, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	52.2%	yes
Russian Federation	17.1%	yes
China	9.5%	—
Guinea	8.5%	yes
Indonesia	4.3%	yes
Guyana	3.3%	—
All other countries	5.1%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	82.4%	—
Myanmar	8.2%	yes
United States	5.2%	—
Australia	1.8%	—
India	1.7%	yes
Nigeria	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Silver — 2018, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	37.6%	yes
Russian Federation	23.7%	yes
United States	9.3%	yes
Argentina	7.5%	—
Peru	6.4%	—
Chile	4.2%	—
All other countries	11.3%

Zinc — 2019, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	25.5%	yes
Australia	24.8%	—
Mexico	18.5%	yes
Bolivia	12.0%	—
United States	6.5%	yes
India	5.1%	yes
All other countries	7.6%

Phosphate rock — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	73.2%	yes
Brazil	26.4%	yes
Tanzania	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	38.9%	yes
Brazil	28.3%	yes
Gabon	12.7%	—
Australia	10.9%	—
Ghana	4.6%	yes
China	3.5%	yes
All other countries	1.1%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	84.0%	—
Madagascar	9.2%	—
Mozambique	1.7%	yes
Norway	1.6%	—
India	1.2%	yes
Tanzania	1.0%	yes
All other countries	1.4%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	99.8%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Silica sand — 2022, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	88.1%	—
United States	2.5%	yes
Australia	1.8%	—
France	1.5%	—
Spain	1.2%	—
India	1.0%	yes
All other countries	3.9%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	30.1%	yes
Botswana	26.3%	—
Canada	17.8%	—
Angola	11.3%	—
South Africa	4.7%	yes
Zimbabwe	3.8%	—
All other countries	6.0%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	94.8%	yes
Russian Federation	3.5%	yes
Ukraine	1.1%	yes
Romania	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	58.0%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	14.6%	—
Viet Nam	10.7%	—
Malaysia	5.0%	—
Sri Lanka	2.3%	—
Cambodia	2.0%	—
All other countries	7.4%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	97.9%	yes
United States	1.0%	—
Thailand	0.7%	yes
Myanmar	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	99.6%	yes
China	0.3%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Nigeria	25.7%	yes
Ukraine	24.8%	yes
Benin	21.1%	yes
Ethiopia	7.8%	yes
Togo	7.5%	yes
Ghana	4.9%	yes
All other countries	8.3%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	97.7%	yes
India	2.0%	yes
Brazil	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	37.2%	yes
Uganda	18.4%	yes
Colombia	7.7%	yes
Indonesia	7.3%	yes
Ethiopia	6.5%	yes
Viet Nam	5.4%	—
All other countries	17.4%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Tanzania	35.8%	yes
Dominican Republic	29.5%	—
Ghana	17.2%	yes
Ecuador	17.1%	yes
Nigeria	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	90.1%	yes
Malaysia	9.7%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	62.9%	yes
Brazil	17.5%	yes
United States	9.2%	—
Afghanistan	2.2%	yes
Argentina	1.7%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	1.7%	—
All other countries	5.0%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	84.5%	yes
Germany	3.4%	yes
United States	2.7%	—
Sweden	1.7%	—
Canada	1.5%	—
Finland	0.9%	—
All other countries	5.3%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	99.4%	yes
Bangladesh	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Pakistan (at home)	99.5%	yes
China	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.4%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	97.2%
Brunei Darussalam	0.4%
All other countries	2.4%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Natural graphite — 2019, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	99.8%
Saudi Arabia	0.0%
Mali	0.0%
Senegal	0.0%
Burundi	0.0%
All other countries	0.2%

Salt — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	55.8%
United States	10.9%
United Arab Emirates	5.3%
Canada	3.8%
China	3.2%
Afghanistan	2.5%
All other countries	18.4%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	100.0%
Saudi Arabia	0.0%
Afghanistan	0.0%
United Arab Emirates	0.0%
Ghana	0.0%
Kuwait	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	91.5%
Viet Nam	3.5%
Sri Lanka	1.2%
Philippines	1.2%
Malaysia	0.7%
Oman	0.6%
All other countries	1.3%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	73.8%
Indonesia	3.1%
Afghanistan	2.6%
Kenya	1.5%
Saudi Arabia	1.5%
Malaysia	1.4%
All other countries	16.0%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
All other countries	100.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	93.6%
Afghanistan	4.7%
Tajikistan	0.3%
Bangladesh	0.3%
Viet Nam	0.2%
Thailand	0.1%
All other countries	0.8%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	99.4%
Philippines	0.1%
Italy	0.1%
Estonia	0.1%
Germany	0.1%
France	0.0%
All other countries	0.2%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	98.0%
United Arab Emirates	0.8%
Saudi Arabia	0.5%
Kuwait	0.3%
Qatar	0.1%
Bahrain	0.1%
All other countries	0.2%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	87.8%
Indonesia	3.4%
United Arab Emirates	2.9%
Viet Nam	0.9%
Greece	0.4%
Netherlands	0.4%
All other countries	4.1%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Pakistan (at home)	99.9%
All other countries	0.1%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2021-PDF	2026-10-06	`35645e7c2a975cfd…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2026-20260206	2026-09-29	`582a0aa231aea53d…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2021-PDF, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2021/mcs2021.pdf. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (USGS Copyrights and Credits); see https://www.usgs.gov/information-policies-and-instructions/copyrights-and-credits.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2026-20260206, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/file/get/69837e43b66b01367d7ec7c7?f=__disk__d3%2Fac%2F84%2Fd3ac8466552946c5e8caa2c2c6338d9e1aff655d. Licensed under Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal (public domain dedication) (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/).
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Pakistan