Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Iran, Islamic Rep., with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Passenger car tyre Part from here: <0.1%	5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.27–1.1 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Steel Part from here: <0.1%	3.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: <0.1%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Glass Part from here: <0.1%	2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.93–4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: <0.1%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: <0.1%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Petrol car Part from here: <0.1%	9.5 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.55–1.7 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: <0.1%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Electric car Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁵ per item(1.8–5.5 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton T-shirt Part from here: <0.1%	6.4 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.25–1.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton yarn Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Cotton fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Denim fabric Part from here: <0.1%	3.8 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.5–9.8 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Jeans Part from here: <0.1%	3.2 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–8.0 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: <0.1%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Laptop Part from here: <0.1%	5.4 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.21–1.2 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Smartphone Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–6.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion battery pack Part from here: <0.1%	6.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Printed circuit board assembly Part from here: <0.1%	1.6 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.60–3.4 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
War deaths (UCDP)	1990–2025	4,091	1,268 (2025)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	202,435,363 t	4.8%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	279,001,458,926 m3	6.6%	reported
Coal and lignite (2024)	1,971,055 t	0.0%	reported
Iron ore (2025)	93,000,000 t	3.7%	estimated
Salt (2025)	4,200,000 t	1.7%	estimated
Silica sand (2011)	1,500,000 t	1.2%	not stated
Wheat (2024)	16,750,000 t	2.1%	gap filled
Milk (2024)	8,505,341 t	0.9%	estimated
Maize (2024)	269,805 t	0.0%	gap filled
Rice (2024)	3,478,820 t	0.4%	gap filled
Soybeans (2024)	200,000 t	0.1%	external
Sugar (2024)	14,239,057 t	0.6%	gap filled
Cotton (2024)	120,000 t	0.2%	external
Livestock (2024)	2,780,960 t	0.8%	gap filled
Timber (2024)	416,000 m3	0.0%	estimated
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	20,948 t	0.3%	estimated
Wood charcoal (2024)	292 t	0.0%	gap filled
Agricultural land (2024)	47,067,000 ha	1.0%	gap filled
Forest (2025)	10,751,000 ha	0.3%	external
Fresh water (2023)	6,200,000,000 m3	1.2%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	92.4%	yes
Indonesia	1.6%	yes
Russian Federation	1.5%	yes
Philippines	1.2%	yes
Australia	0.8%	—
China	0.8%	—
All other countries	1.6%

Lithium — 2018, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	47.0%	yes
Chile	23.0%	—
China	18.8%	—
Argentina	8.9%	—
Zimbabwe	1.1%	yes
Canada	0.9%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	45.7%	yes
Australia	31.5%	—
Indonesia	10.2%	yes
Canada	8.8%	—
New Caledonia	1.2%	—
Philippines	1.2%	yes
All other countries	1.4%

Gold — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	41.3%	—
Canada	9.8%	—
Australia	9.7%	—
Russian Federation	9.7%	yes
Peru	4.0%	—
South Africa	3.8%	yes
All other countries	21.7%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	35.5%	—
Indonesia	28.7%	yes
Brazil	14.1%	yes
Bolivia	13.7%	—
China	3.4%	—
Malaysia	1.3%	—
All other countries	3.3%

Tantalum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mozambique	46.8%	yes
Nigeria	12.0%	yes
Brazil	11.9%	yes
Rwanda	11.4%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	7.9%	yes
Australia	6.2%	—
All other countries	3.8%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	91.0%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.5%	—
Bolivia	1.4%	—
Rwanda	1.4%	yes
Russian Federation	1.1%	yes
Austria	0.9%	—
All other countries	1.8%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guinea	55.1%	—
China	23.9%	—
Turkiye	11.0%	yes
Australia	9.4%	—
Brazil	0.3%	yes
Greece	0.2%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	57.8%	—
Australia	34.7%	—
Myanmar	5.8%	yes
United States	0.9%	—
Malaysia	0.5%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Silver — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Peru	19.3%	—
Poland	16.4%	—
Mexico	10.6%	yes
China	10.5%	—
Kazakhstan	7.6%	—
Australia	7.5%	—
All other countries	28.1%

Phosphate rock — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	51.3%	yes
Brazil	35.4%	yes
Tanzania	13.3%	—
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	40.4%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	18.1%	—
Gabon	15.1%	—
Brazil	9.8%	yes
Ghana	6.5%	yes
Australia	6.0%	—
All other countries	4.1%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	97.9%	—
Tanzania	0.8%	yes
Madagascar	0.7%	—
Mozambique	0.4%	yes
India	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Silica sand — 2019, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
India	46.3%	yes
Turkiye	19.5%	yes
Germany	7.9%	—
Netherlands	4.6%	—
Spain	4.4%	—
United States	3.9%	yes
All other countries	13.4%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Russian Federation	29.3%	yes
Botswana	26.6%	—
Canada	19.4%	—
Angola	10.7%	—
South Africa	4.5%	yes
Zimbabwe	3.5%	—
All other countries	6.0%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.6%	yes
Turkiye	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.9%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	84.1%	yes
Malaysia	5.5%	—
Cote d'Ivoire	3.2%	—
Philippines	2.1%	yes
Myanmar	1.2%	yes
Viet Nam	1.0%	—
All other countries	2.8%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	78.8%	yes
Romania	7.7%	—
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	6.8%	yes
Serbia	1.2%	—
Turkiye	1.2%	yes
Paraguay	1.1%	—
All other countries	3.1%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	69.4%	yes
India	30.4%	yes
Thailand	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	68.8%	yes
Canada	21.3%	—
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	8.2%	yes
United States	0.9%	—
Paraguay	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.3%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	57.9%	yes
Brazil	37.8%	yes
China	3.6%	—
India	0.3%	yes
Thailand	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	43.0%	yes
India	18.9%	yes
Brazil	13.6%	yes
Uganda	9.3%	yes
Kenya	8.4%	yes
Viet Nam	2.4%	—
All other countries	4.5%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Cote d'Ivoire	40.4%	—
Cameroon	19.2%	yes
Nigeria	13.1%	yes
Ecuador	8.2%	yes
Ghana	6.0%	yes
Sierra Leone	3.9%	—
All other countries	9.2%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Malaysia	88.2%	—
Indonesia	10.6%	yes
Thailand	0.4%	yes
Papua New Guinea	0.4%	yes
Guatemala	0.1%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	67.5%	yes
Turkiye	9.8%	yes
Kyrgyz Republic	8.1%	—
Azerbaijan	4.0%	—
Brazil	3.5%	yes
United States	3.1%	—
All other countries	3.9%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.7%	yes
India	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.2%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	62.1%	yes
Turkiye	25.2%	yes
Georgia	4.4%	—
Belarus	2.9%	—
Russian Federation	1.4%	yes
Romania	1.0%	—
All other countries	2.9%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	42.8%	yes
Turkiye	20.2%	yes
Brazil	9.1%	yes
India	5.6%	yes
Malawi	3.9%	—
Tanzania	2.8%	yes
All other countries	15.5%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	47.7%	—
Indonesia	31.8%	yes
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	8.0%	yes
Philippines	3.0%	yes
Myanmar	2.8%	yes
Lao PDR	2.2%	—
All other countries	4.6%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.3%
Pakistan	0.6%
Armenia	0.1%
All other countries	0.0%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	93.7%
Kuwait	4.3%
All other countries	2.0%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	87.1%
China	12.8%
Armenia	0.0%
Kuwait	0.0%
Burkina Faso	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Salt — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	92.1%
India	4.2%
Georgia	0.8%
Armenia	0.4%
Korea, Rep.	0.3%
Russian Federation	0.3%
All other countries	1.8%

Silica sand — 2011, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	88.4%
Azerbaijan	6.7%
Qatar	2.6%
Armenia	1.4%
Iraq	0.2%
Kuwait	0.2%
All other countries	0.5%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.0%
Armenia	0.4%
Azerbaijan	0.1%
Georgia	0.1%
Singapore	0.1%
Qatar	0.1%
All other countries	0.2%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.9%
All other countries	0.1%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.9%
Canada	0.0%
Germany	0.0%
Norway	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.8%
Kuwait	0.0%
Bahrain	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.6%
All other countries	0.4%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	98.5%
Kuwait	0.7%
Qatar	0.6%
Bahrain	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	99.7%
All other countries	0.3%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	92.5%
Armenia	1.1%
Serbia	0.7%
Italy	0.4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	0.4%
Greece	0.4%
All other countries	4.4%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Iran, Islamic Rep. (at home)	75.8%
Uzbekistan	1.5%
Tajikistan	0.0%
All other countries	22.7%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2026-20260206	2026-09-29	`582a0aa231aea53d…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2013-PDF	2026-10-06	`8e6773de4f7d4a73…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2013-PDF, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://d9-wret.s3.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/assets/palladium/production/mineral-pubs/mcs/mcs2013.pdf. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (USGS Copyrights and Credits); see https://www.usgs.gov/information-policies-and-instructions/copyrights-and-credits.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2026-20260206, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/file/get/69837e43b66b01367d7ec7c7?f=__disk__d3%2Fac%2F84%2Fd3ac8466552946c5e8caa2c2c6338d9e1aff655d. Licensed under Creative Commons Zero v1.0 Universal (public domain dedication) (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/).
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Iran, Islamic Rep.