Harm counted here, in the products the model covers

Each product whose supply chain counts deaths in Japan, with its deaths per item and the part of that figure counted here — the other side of the story: harm suffered here, in things mostly bought elsewhere.

Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023.

Harm counted here, in the products the model covers
Product	Deaths per item
Pack of cigarettes Part from here: 1.7%	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(1.4–8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Glass Part from here: 1.7%	2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.93–4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Butter Part from here: 0.74%	3.2 × 10⁻⁷ per item(1.3–7.2 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Croissant Part from here: 0.69%	0.42–2.4 × 10⁻⁸ per itemINDICATIVES-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Refined sugar Part from here: 0.53%	6.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.24–1.5 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Wheat flour Part from here: <0.1%	1.1 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.44–2.6 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Chocolate bar Part from here: <0.1%	2.5 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.2–5.8 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Steel Part from here: <0.1%	3.1 × 10⁻⁹ per item(1.7–6.7 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Passenger car tyre Part from here: <0.1%	5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ per item(0.27–1.1 × 10⁻⁹)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Bag of charcoal Part from here: <0.1%	1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Petrol car Part from here: <0.1%	9.5 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.55–1.7 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Electric car Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁵ per item(1.8–5.5 × 10⁻⁵)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Laptop Part from here: <0.1%	5.4 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.21–1.2 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Smartphone Part from here: <0.1%	3.0 × 10⁻⁸ per item(1.2–6.3 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Lithium-ion battery pack Part from here: <0.1%	6.9 × 10⁻⁸ per item(0.36–1.4 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r
Printed circuit board assembly Part from here: <0.1%	1.6 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.60–3.4 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

The figure is the product’s own, with its range. The share beside it is a middle estimate only: the calculation stores a range for each figure, not for each part of one.

Recorded here

Deaths recorded for this country, as their publishers counted them: war deaths from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), and deaths at work reported to the International Labour Organization. Both are records, and both are floors, not estimates of the whole. A war death is recorded where it happened, whoever died.

Recorded here
Kind of harm	Years	Deaths recorded	Latest year
Deaths at work (ILOSTAT, as reported)	1979–2023	77,183	755 (2023)

What it produces

The latest year on record for each material, and this country’s share of the production on record for that year. That is not always a share of the world total: when a publisher lumps small producers together as “other countries”, that group is not a country and is not loaded.

What it produces
Material	Produced	Share of recorded production	Quality
Crude petroleum (2025)	155,648 t	0.0%	gap filled
Natural gas (2024)	1,902,603,793 m3	0.0%	reported
Coal and lignite (2024)	518,222 t	0.0%	reported
Silica sand (2022)	2,010,000 t	0.6%	not stated
Wheat (2024)	1,029,000 t	0.1%	reported
Milk (2024)	7,357,451 t	0.8%	reported
Maize (2024)	169 t	0.0%	estimated
Rice (2024)	10,142,000 t	1.2%	estimated
Soybeans (2024)	252,400 t	0.1%	reported
Sugar (2024)	4,642,310 t	0.2%	reported
Livestock (2024)	4,191,952 t	1.2%	gap filled
Timber (2024)	22,274,000 m3	1.1%	reported
Tobacco (unmanufactured) (2024)	8,336 t	0.1%	reported
Wood charcoal (2024)	10,000 t	0.0%	reported
Agricultural land (2024)	4,582,000 ha	0.1%	gap filled
Forest (2025)	24,908,000 ha	0.6%	external
Fresh water (2023)	14,400,000,000 m3	2.7%	gap filled

Where what it consumes is produced

For each material, how much of what this country uses was produced in each country. It is traced through trade, so a country that only passes a material on is not counted as its source: it hands on the mix it imported. The largest sources are listed and the rest added together.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Saudi Arabia	42.2%	—
United Arab Emirates	39.8%	—
Kuwait	7.2%	—
Qatar	4.0%	—
United States	1.9%	—
Ecuador	1.3%	yes
All other countries	3.6%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	35.5%	—
United States	15.8%	—
Malaysia	11.9%	—
Russian Federation	7.6%	yes
Papua New Guinea	5.1%	yes
Qatar	4.2%	—
All other countries	19.9%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	63.3%	—
Indonesia	16.0%	yes
United States	9.7%	—
Canada	6.1%	—
South Africa	1.7%	yes
Colombia	1.0%	yes
All other countries	2.2%

Cobalt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	48.9%	yes
Australia	23.8%	—
Madagascar	12.7%	—
Canada	8.3%	—
Turkiye	1.9%	yes
Indonesia	1.7%	yes
All other countries	2.6%

Copper — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	44.8%	—
Indonesia	17.3%	yes
Peru	14.6%	—
Australia	13.7%	—
Canada	4.9%	—
United States	3.8%	—
All other countries	1.0%

Lithium — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Chile	47.7%	—
Argentina	21.5%	yes
Australia	14.5%	—
China	11.3%	—
Zimbabwe	3.4%	—
Brazil	1.2%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Nickel — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	76.8%	—
Canada	13.2%	—
New Caledonia	3.7%	—
Philippines	2.7%	yes
Indonesia	2.6%	yes
Brazil	0.5%	yes
All other countries	0.5%

Tin — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	34.1%	yes
Peru	25.9%	—
China	9.5%	—
Malaysia	8.0%	—
Bolivia	7.1%	—
Australia	3.5%	—
All other countries	11.9%

Tantalum — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Congo, Dem. Rep.	31.2%	yes
Rwanda	22.1%	—
Nigeria	12.6%	yes
Australia	12.6%	—
Brazil	11.1%	yes
Russian Federation	3.6%	yes
All other countries	6.8%

Tungsten — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	87.8%	—
Korea, Dem. People's Rep.	2.4%	—
Austria	2.1%	—
Bolivia	1.7%	—
Spain	1.6%	—
Rwanda	1.4%	yes
All other countries	3.1%

Iron ore — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	55.9%	—
Brazil	29.1%	yes
Canada	8.1%	—
South Africa	4.1%	yes
United States	1.1%	—
Peru	0.6%	—
All other countries	1.2%

Bauxite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Guinea	50.7%	—
China	34.0%	—
Australia	13.4%	—
Turkiye	1.6%	yes
Brazil	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Rare earth elements — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	65.5%	—
Australia	15.1%	—
United States	6.6%	—
Myanmar	6.5%	yes
Thailand	3.0%	yes
India	1.4%	yes
All other countries	1.9%

Silver — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Mexico	46.2%	yes
Bolivia	18.1%	—
Australia	15.3%	—
Argentina	6.5%	yes
Peru	3.8%	—
Poland	3.5%	—
All other countries	6.6%

Zinc — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Bolivia	36.7%	—
Mexico	19.4%	yes
Peru	16.9%	—
Australia	13.8%	—
United States	11.3%	—
India	1.6%	yes
All other countries	0.3%

Phosphate rock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	100.0%	yes
All other countries	0.0%

Manganese — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
South Africa	58.6%	yes
Gabon	28.6%	—
Australia	6.9%	—
Ghana	3.3%	yes
China	1.8%	—
Cote d'Ivoire	0.4%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Natural graphite — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
China	90.9%	—
Madagascar	3.2%	—
Sri Lanka	1.7%	—
Brazil	1.3%	yes
Mozambique	1.2%	yes
Tanzania	0.8%	yes
All other countries	0.9%

Salt — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Australia	48.0%	—
Mexico	28.9%	yes
China	10.1%	—
India	8.2%	yes
United States	1.2%	—
Germany	0.7%	yes
All other countries	2.9%

Silica sand — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	43.6%	—
Australia	34.5%	—
China	8.3%	—
Russian Federation	5.3%	yes
India	5.2%	yes
Malaysia	1.2%	—
All other countries	1.9%

Natural diamonds (rough) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	21.7%	—
Botswana	21.4%	—
Angola	20.8%	yes
Russian Federation	14.9%	yes
Congo, Dem. Rep.	7.1%	yes
South Africa	4.7%	yes
All other countries	9.3%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Canada	34.8%	—
United States	31.0%	—
Australia	18.7%	—
Japan (at home)	15.1%	—
France	0.2%	yes
Poland	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.1%

Milk — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Japan (at home)	96.9%	—
New Zealand	1.4%	—
Australia	0.5%	—
United States	0.3%	—
Thailand	0.2%	yes
Netherlands	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.5%

Natural rubber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Thailand	61.9%	yes
Indonesia	32.2%	yes
Viet Nam	2.4%	—
Cote d'Ivoire	1.6%	—
Cambodia	0.7%	—
Philippines	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.9%

Maize — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	79.7%	—
Brazil	17.1%	yes
Argentina	1.4%	yes
Paraguay	0.8%	—
Ukraine	0.3%	yes
France	0.2%	yes
All other countries	0.4%

Rice — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Japan (at home)	96.5%	—
Thailand	1.6%	yes
United States	1.3%	—
India	0.2%	yes
China	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.2%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	59.7%	—
Brazil	16.9%	yes
Canada	12.3%	—
Japan (at home)	10.3%	—
China	0.3%	—
Paraguay	0.1%	—
All other countries	0.4%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Japan (at home)	46.3%	—
Australia	43.2%	—
Thailand	6.2%	yes
China	1.1%	—
Brazil	1.0%	yes
South Africa	0.4%	yes
All other countries	1.7%

Coffee — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Brazil	42.4%	yes
Colombia	12.3%	yes
Viet Nam	10.0%	—
Ethiopia	8.0%	yes
Indonesia	7.1%	yes
Guatemala	5.5%	yes
All other countries	14.7%

Cocoa — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Ghana	67.3%	yes
Ecuador	12.3%	yes
Cote d'Ivoire	9.9%	—
Venezuela, RB	4.2%	yes
Dominican Republic	2.2%	—
Nigeria	2.0%	yes
All other countries	2.1%

Palm oil — 2023, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Malaysia	76.1%	—
Indonesia	22.4%	yes
Philippines	0.6%	yes
Thailand	0.5%	yes
Papua New Guinea	0.3%	yes
All other countries	0.1%

Cotton — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
United States	68.7%	—
Australia	13.0%	—
Brazil	8.0%	yes
India	3.3%	yes
Turkiye	1.8%	yes
Zimbabwe	1.6%	—
All other countries	3.6%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Japan (at home)	65.2%	—
United States	9.0%	—
Australia	5.5%	—
Brazil	5.0%	yes
Canada	4.5%	—
Spain	2.6%	—
All other countries	8.2%

Timber — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Japan (at home)	59.9%	—
Canada	9.7%	—
United States	7.3%	—
Russian Federation	4.3%	yes
Sweden	4.3%	—
Finland	4.2%	—
All other countries	10.3%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Japan (at home)	41.9%	—
Brazil	17.6%	yes
Tanzania	7.4%	yes
United States	6.4%	—
India	5.1%	yes
Argentina	3.8%	yes
All other countries	17.8%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Produced in	Share	War recorded
Indonesia	26.1%	yes
China	21.5%	—
Lao PDR	17.4%	—
Philippines	12.0%	yes
Viet Nam	8.9%	—
Japan (at home)	4.1%	—
All other countries	10.0%

“War recorded” marks a source country where war deaths were recorded in the same year. It is a fact about that country, not a claim that this material caused them.

Where what it produces is consumed

For each material this country produces, how much of it is used in each country, including at home.

Crude petroleum — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	99.9%
All other countries	0.1%

Natural gas — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	99.8%
All other countries	0.2%

Coal and lignite — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	100.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Silica sand — 2022, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	91.4%
Malaysia	2.1%
Singapore	0.7%
Viet Nam	0.2%
Korea, Rep.	0.2%
Thailand	0.1%
All other countries	5.3%

Wheat — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	100.0%
Maldives	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Milk — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	99.6%
Hong Kong SAR, China	0.1%
Macao SAR, China	0.1%
Singapore	0.0%
Philippines	0.0%
Brunei Darussalam	0.0%
All other countries	0.1%

Maize — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
All other countries	100.0%

Rice — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	99.5%
Hong Kong SAR, China	0.1%
United States	0.1%
Singapore	0.0%
Burkina Faso	0.0%
Canada	0.0%
All other countries	0.2%

Soybeans — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	100.0%
Hong Kong SAR, China	0.0%
Macao SAR, China	0.0%
Kuwait	0.0%
Maldives	0.0%
Northern Mariana Islands	0.0%
All other countries	0.0%

Sugar — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	99.6%
Hong Kong SAR, China	0.1%
Singapore	0.0%
Macao SAR, China	0.0%
Guam	0.0%
All other countries	0.3%

Livestock — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	98.6%
Hong Kong SAR, China	0.3%
Singapore	0.1%
Thailand	0.1%
Cambodia	0.1%
Malaysia	0.1%
All other countries	0.8%

Timber — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	94.9%
China	4.2%
Korea, Rep.	0.4%
Philippines	0.1%
Brunei Darussalam	0.0%
Micronesia, Fed. Sts.	0.0%
All other countries	0.3%

Tobacco (unmanufactured) — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	92.5%
Cote d'Ivoire	1.8%
Jordan	1.3%
Russian Federation	0.7%
Philippines	0.7%
Belgium	0.4%
All other countries	2.6%

Wood charcoal — 2024, by value
Consumed in	Share
Japan (at home)	98.8%
All other countries	1.2%

The number this page does not show

The harm these supply chains carry is calculated, and not shown.

The model passes the harm counted where a material is produced on to the countries that use it. That is a count of people from a recorded calculation, with no range yet, and nothing of that kind is published before the model passes its test on past years. What this page can show without it is the structure: who produces, who uses, and where harm is recorded along the way.

Sources

Sources
Version of the data	Downloaded	File fingerprint
ilostat · fatal-20261006	2026-10-06	`700fa580091e41e7…`
eia · intl-20261003	2026-10-06	`9251a5920ebe7044…`
usgs_mcs · MCS2024-PDF	2026-10-06	`a4da4050fc9a63a9…`
faostat · qcl-20251231	2026-09-29	`c5835418c18f9322…`
faostat · fo-20260109	2026-09-29	`c2f7fc99651f620b…`
faostat · rl-20261002	2026-10-06	`39b739fbfb694971…`
aquastat · ds-20260713	2026-10-06	`3bca93e1d4430099…`
baci · HS92_V202601-20260130	2026-09-29	`43259580059fa83e…`
ucdp · ged-v26.1	2026-09-10	`8c941d84954e555e…`

CEPII, BACI — Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level, CEPII Working Paper 2010-23. CEPII did not endorse these derived figures — HS92_V202601-20260130, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/data/BACI_HS92_V202601.zip. Licensed under Open Licence 2.0 (Licence Ouverte, Etalab) (https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf).
FAO. AQUASTAT, FAO's Global Information System on Water and Agriculture: municipal water withdrawal. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — ds-20260713, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://api.data.apps.fao.org/api/v2/bigquery. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — fo-20260109, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Forestry_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — qcl-20251231, retrieved 2026-09-29 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Production_Crops_Livestock_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
FAO. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAOSTAT. Licence: CC-BY-4.0. FAO endorsement of these derived figures is neither stated nor implied — rl-20261002, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://bulks-faostat.fao.org/production/Inputs_LandUse_E_All_Data_(Normalized).zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — fatal-20261006, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_INJ_FATL_ECO_NB,1.0/all. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics — intl-20261003, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://www.eia.gov/opendata/bulk/INTL.zip. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (EIA Copyrights and Reuse); see https://www.eia.gov/about/copyrights_reuse.php.
U.S. Geological Survey, National Minerals Information Center, Mineral Commodity Summaries — MCS2024-PDF, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2024/mcs2024.pdf. Used under U.S. Government work — public domain (USGS Copyrights and Credits); see https://www.usgs.gov/information-policies-and-instructions/copyrights-and-credits.
Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), Uppsala University — Davies, Pettersson and Oberg, "Organized violence 1989-2025, and violent political protests", Journal of Peace Research (2026), doi:10.1093/jopres/xjag046 — ged-v26.1, retrieved 2026-09-10 from https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ged/ged261-csv.zip. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.

Sources →

Japan