login
quiescence.eu
Skip to content

The full breakdown

How the figure for Passenger car tyre is built

Every stage the model passes through, with its number. Each table below divides the same headline figure a different way, and each one adds up to it exactly — the page checks, and refuses to show a table that does not.

Is something on this page wrong? Report it →

The headline

One item is one kilogram of passenger car tyre. Scenario Conservative, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Materials method — 7.4 × 10⁻¹¹ per item(0.48–1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰)LOWS-CONS · run 2151 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

Money method — 6.6 × 10⁻⁷ per €1,000 spent in its industry(0.43–1.0 × 10⁻⁶)MEDIUMS-CONS · run 2151 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

Each step below is a middle estimate. The model works out a range for the whole figure, not for each step, so the range that applies to a step is the headline’s.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries

How much of each raw material is in one item, the deaths linked to each kilogram of it in this calculation, and the two multiplied together: its part of the headline figure.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries
MaterialPer itemDeaths per kgPart of the figureShare
Coal and lignite9.8 × 10⁻⁵ t7.3 × 10⁻¹⁰7.2 × 10⁻¹¹97%
Iron ore1.9 × 10⁻⁴ t1.2 × 10⁻¹¹2.3 × 10⁻¹²3.1%
Total7.4 × 10⁻¹¹= the headline figure, 7.4 × 10⁻¹¹

2 · Where the harm was counted

The same headline, by the country where the harm the materials carry was counted.

2 · Where the harm was counted
CountryPart of the figureShare
Ukraine7.0 × 10⁻¹¹95%
Turkiye1.3 × 10⁻¹²1.7%
Mexico1.2 × 10⁻¹²1.7%
Russian Federation3.3 × 10⁻¹³0.44%
Colombia2.0 × 10⁻¹³0.27%
Australia1.6 × 10⁻¹³0.22%
Mongolia1.6 × 10⁻¹³0.22%
United States1.5 × 10⁻¹³0.21%
Poland1.1 × 10⁻¹³0.15%
Canada1.0 × 10⁻¹³0.14%
Germany4.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Czechia3.2 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Greece2.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Bulgaria1.9 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Slovak Republic9.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Thailand6.5 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Georgia5.7 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Japan4.4 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Romania3.2 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Uzbekistan7.3 × 10⁻¹⁶<0.1%
Argentina3.8 × 10⁻¹⁸<0.1%
Norway2.0 × 10⁻¹⁸<0.1%
Total7.4 × 10⁻¹¹= the headline figure, 7.4 × 10⁻¹¹

3 · Through which kind of harm

The same headline, by kind of harm: war, work, poverty, pollution.

3 · Through which kind of harm
Kind of harmPart of the figureShare
Conflict and political violence7.1 × 10⁻¹¹97%
Work2.6 × 10⁻¹²3.5%
Total7.4 × 10⁻¹¹= the headline figure, 7.4 × 10⁻¹¹

4 · Which wars

The war deaths in the headline, by war. Harm of any other kind is the row that names no war.

4 · Which wars
WarPart of the figureShare
Russia - Ukraine7.0 × 10⁻¹¹95%
Not placed2.6 × 10⁻¹²3.5%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel1.2 × 10⁻¹²1.7%
Total7.4 × 10⁻¹¹= the headline figure, 7.4 × 10⁻¹¹

5 · The money method: which industries

The figure per €1,000, by the industry where the harm happened, anywhere in the supply chain.

5 · The money method: which industries
IndustryPart of the figureShare
Mining and quarrying3.8 × 10⁻⁷58%
Manufacture of rubber and plastic products4.8 × 10⁻⁸7.3%
Manufacture of basic metals4.6 × 10⁻⁸7.0%
Land transport and transport via pipelines3.9 × 10⁻⁸5.9%
Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities2.9 × 10⁻⁸4.3%
Water transport2.6 × 10⁻⁸4.0%
Warehousing and support activities for transportation2.0 × 10⁻⁸3.0%
Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products1.2 × 10⁻⁸1.8%
Air transport1.1 × 10⁻⁸1.6%
Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles8.0 × 10⁻⁹1.2%
Construction3.8 × 10⁻⁹0.58%
Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products3.5 × 10⁻⁹0.53%
Postal and courier activities3.0 × 10⁻⁹0.46%
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply2.7 × 10⁻⁹0.41%
Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles2.7 × 10⁻⁹0.40%
Security and investigation, service and landscape, office administrative and support activities2.3 × 10⁻⁹0.35%
Sewerage, waste management, remediation activities2.0 × 10⁻⁹0.31%
Employment activities1.7 × 10⁻⁹0.26%
Rental and leasing activities1.6 × 10⁻⁹0.24%
Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment1.3 × 10⁻⁹0.19%
Water collection, treatment and supply1.2 × 10⁻⁹0.19%
Forestry and logging1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.17%
Manufacture of paper and paper products9.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.15%
Manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products8.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Legal and accounting activities; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities8.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles7.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products6.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
Manufacture of food products; beverages and tobacco products6.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.6.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products4.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers4.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Accommodation and food service activities4.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of electrical equipment4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair and installation of machinery and equipment3.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Human health activities2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Travel agency, tour operator reservation service and related activities2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Real estate activities2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Advertising and market research2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Computer programming, consultancy, and information service activities1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair of computers and personal and household goods1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Printing and reproduction of recorded media1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other personal service activities1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of other transport equipment1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of furniture; other manufacturing1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other professional, scientific and technical activities; veterinary activities1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Activities of membership organisations1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities8.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fishing and aquaculture8.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Creative, arts and entertainment activities; libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities; gambling and betting activities7.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Telecommunications7.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Education5.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Motion picture, video, television programme production; programming and broadcasting activities3.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities3.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Publishing activities3.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Scientific research and development2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation2.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use6.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Total6.6 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 6.6 × 10⁻⁷

6 · The money method: which countries

The figure per €1,000, by the country of the industry where the harm happened.

6 · The money method: which countries
CountryPart of the figureShare
Not placed5.4 × 10⁻⁷81%
United States2.9 × 10⁻⁸4.3%
Turkiye2.6 × 10⁻⁸3.9%
Russian Federation1.4 × 10⁻⁸2.2%
Japan8.9 × 10⁻⁹1.3%
France6.6 × 10⁻⁹1.0%
Italy5.1 × 10⁻⁹0.77%
Mexico5.1 × 10⁻⁹0.77%
Germany4.5 × 10⁻⁹0.67%
Argentina3.3 × 10⁻⁹0.50%
Canada3.2 × 10⁻⁹0.48%
Poland3.2 × 10⁻⁹0.48%
Spain3.0 × 10⁻⁹0.45%
Portugal1.5 × 10⁻⁹0.22%
Romania1.4 × 10⁻⁹0.21%
Czechia1.2 × 10⁻⁹0.18%
Australia1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.17%
Bulgaria1.0 × 10⁻⁹0.15%
Austria8.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.14%
Hungary6.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
Belgium5.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Lithuania4.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Greece4.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Netherlands4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sweden3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Slovak Republic3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Slovenia3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Switzerland3.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Denmark2.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Finland2.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Croatia2.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Latvia2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Ireland2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Norway2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Luxembourg1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cyprus9.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Estonia9.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Malta1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Total6.6 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 6.6 × 10⁻⁷

What this trail does not show

Sources behind this figure

HumanToll 2026, run 2151, methodology v0.1. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/explain/car-tyre/

Back to Passenger car tyre →