The full breakdown

How the figure for Petrol car is built

Every stage the model passes through, with its number. Each table below divides the same headline figure a different way, and each one adds up to it exactly — the page checks, and refuses to show a table that does not.

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The headline

One item is one midsize petrol car of 1,385 kg. Scenario Evidence-weighted, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Materials method — 1.1 × 10⁻⁶ per item(0.74–1.8 × 10⁻⁶)LOWS-EVID · run 2193 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

Money method — 1.0 × 10⁻⁶ per €1,000 spent in its industry(0.69–1.6 × 10⁻⁶)MEDIUMS-EVID · run 2193 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

Each step below is a middle estimate. The model works out a range for the whole figure, not for each step, so the range that applies to a step is the headline’s.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries

How much of each raw material is in one item, the deaths linked to each kilogram of it in this calculation, and the two multiplied together: its part of the headline figure.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries
Material	Per item	Deaths per kg	Part of the figure	Share
Coal and lignite	0.51 t	1.2 × 10⁻⁹	6.3 × 10⁻⁷	56%
Copper	0.034 t	1.4 × 10⁻⁸	4.9 × 10⁻⁷	43%
Iron ore	0.98 t	1.7 × 10⁻¹¹	1.6 × 10⁻⁸	1.4%
Bauxite	0.71 t	5.9 × 10⁻¹²	4.2 × 10⁻⁹	0.36%
Silica sand	0.024 t	3.9 × 10⁻¹¹	9.3 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Total			1.1 × 10⁻⁶	= the headline figure, 1.1 × 10⁻⁶

2 · Where the harm was counted

The same headline, by the country where the harm the materials carry was counted.

2 · Where the harm was counted
Country	Part of the figure	Share
Ukraine	6.2 × 10⁻⁷	55%
Mexico	3.4 × 10⁻⁷	29%
Congo, Dem. Rep.	1.5 × 10⁻⁷	13%
Turkiye	1.0 × 10⁻⁸	0.89%
Poland	5.1 × 10⁻⁹	0.44%
Russian Federation	4.3 × 10⁻⁹	0.38%
United States	2.9 × 10⁻⁹	0.26%
Canada	1.9 × 10⁻⁹	0.16%
Australia	1.5 × 10⁻⁹	0.13%
Colombia	1.1 × 10⁻⁹	<0.1%
Mongolia	8.4 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Greece	4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Spain	2.7 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Germany	2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Czechia	1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Moldova	1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Bulgaria	1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Korea, Rep.	7.6 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Italy	5.7 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
France	5.6 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Slovak Republic	4.9 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Japan	4.8 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Thailand	3.4 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Georgia	3.0 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Netherlands	1.8 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Romania	1.7 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Austria	9.9 × 10⁻¹²	<0.1%
Uzbekistan	3.8 × 10⁻¹²	<0.1%
Argentina	1.2 × 10⁻¹²	<0.1%
Norway	4.1 × 10⁻¹⁴	<0.1%
Total	1.1 × 10⁻⁶	= the headline figure, 1.1 × 10⁻⁶

3 · Through which kind of harm

The same headline, by kind of harm: war, work, poverty, pollution.

3 · Through which kind of harm
Kind of harm	Part of the figure	Share
Conflict and political violence	1.1 × 10⁻⁶	97%
Work	2.9 × 10⁻⁸	2.5%
Total	1.1 × 10⁻⁶	= the headline figure, 1.1 × 10⁻⁶

4 · Which wars

The war deaths in the headline, by war. Harm of any other kind is the row that names no war.

4 · Which wars
War	Part of the figure	Share
Russia - Ukraine	6.3 × 10⁻⁷	55%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel	3.4 × 10⁻⁷	29%
DR Congo (Zaire): Government	1.1 × 10⁻⁷	10%
Government of Rwanda - Civilians	3.7 × 10⁻⁸	3.2%
Not placed	2.9 × 10⁻⁸	2.5%
Total	1.1 × 10⁻⁶	= the headline figure, 1.1 × 10⁻⁶

5 · The money method: which industries

The figure per €1,000, by the industry where the harm happened, anywhere in the supply chain.

5 · The money method: which industries
Industry	Part of the figure	Share
Mining and quarrying	4.9 × 10⁻⁷	47%
Manufacture of basic metals	2.5 × 10⁻⁷	24%
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers	6.0 × 10⁻⁸	5.8%
Land transport and transport via pipelines	5.8 × 10⁻⁸	5.6%
Water transport	4.0 × 10⁻⁸	3.8%
Warehousing and support activities for transportation	2.5 × 10⁻⁸	2.4%
Air transport	1.5 × 10⁻⁸	1.5%
Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles	1.5 × 10⁻⁸	1.4%
Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment	1.4 × 10⁻⁸	1.4%
Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities	1.2 × 10⁻⁸	1.1%
Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles	6.2 × 10⁻⁹	0.59%
Postal and courier activities	4.0 × 10⁻⁹	0.39%
Construction	4.0 × 10⁻⁹	0.39%
Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles	3.7 × 10⁻⁹	0.36%
Manufacture of other transport equipment	3.3 × 10⁻⁹	0.32%
Manufacture of rubber and plastic products	3.0 × 10⁻⁹	0.29%
Security and investigation, service and landscape, office administrative and support activities	2.9 × 10⁻⁹	0.28%
Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products	2.5 × 10⁻⁹	0.25%
Sewerage, waste management, remediation activities	2.5 × 10⁻⁹	0.24%
Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.	2.4 × 10⁻⁹	0.23%
Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products	2.0 × 10⁻⁹	0.20%
Manufacture of electrical equipment	2.0 × 10⁻⁹	0.20%
Rental and leasing activities	1.9 × 10⁻⁹	0.19%
Employment activities	1.9 × 10⁻⁹	0.18%
Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products	1.8 × 10⁻⁹	0.17%
Water collection, treatment and supply	1.6 × 10⁻⁹	0.16%
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply	1.6 × 10⁻⁹	0.15%
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security	1.2 × 10⁻⁹	0.11%
Legal and accounting activities; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities	1.1 × 10⁻⁹	0.11%
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products	8.6 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products	7.6 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Accommodation and food service activities	7.5 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Forestry and logging	7.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Manufacture of paper and paper products	5.1 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Manufacture of food products; beverages and tobacco products	4.4 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Repair and installation of machinery and equipment	4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis	3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Repair of computers and personal and household goods	3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Real estate activities	3.3 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials	3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Human health activities	2.7 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Computer programming, consultancy, and information service activities	2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Travel agency, tour operator reservation service and related activities	2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Manufacture of furniture; other manufacturing	2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Advertising and market research	2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Other personal service activities	2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Activities of membership organisations	2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding	1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Printing and reproduction of recorded media	1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Other professional, scientific and technical activities; veterinary activities	1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities	1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Telecommunications	1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Fishing and aquaculture	1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Education	9.6 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Creative, arts and entertainment activities; libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities; gambling and betting activities	9.6 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations	9.6 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Motion picture, video, television programme production; programming and broadcasting activities	5.4 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities	4.7 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Publishing activities	4.2 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security	4.2 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Scientific research and development	3.9 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation	2.6 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use	3.0 × 10⁻¹²	<0.1%
Total	1.0 × 10⁻⁶	= the headline figure, 1.0 × 10⁻⁶

6 · The money method: which countries

The figure per €1,000, by the country of the industry where the harm happened.

6 · The money method: which countries
Country	Part of the figure	Share
Not placed	8.6 × 10⁻⁷	83%
United States	3.2 × 10⁻⁸	3.1%
Mexico	2.8 × 10⁻⁸	2.7%
Turkiye	2.4 × 10⁻⁸	2.3%
Korea, Rep.	1.6 × 10⁻⁸	1.6%
Japan	1.6 × 10⁻⁸	1.5%
Russian Federation	1.2 × 10⁻⁸	1.2%
Germany	1.0 × 10⁻⁸	0.97%
France	8.5 × 10⁻⁹	0.82%
Poland	4.2 × 10⁻⁹	0.40%
Italy	4.1 × 10⁻⁹	0.40%
Spain	4.0 × 10⁻⁹	0.38%
Canada	3.3 × 10⁻⁹	0.32%
Argentina	3.1 × 10⁻⁹	0.30%
Czechia	2.9 × 10⁻⁹	0.28%
Romania	2.2 × 10⁻⁹	0.21%
Portugal	1.7 × 10⁻⁹	0.16%
Hungary	1.1 × 10⁻⁹	0.11%
Slovak Republic	9.2 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Austria	9.1 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Bulgaria	9.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Sweden	9.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Australia	7.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Belgium	4.2 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Slovenia	3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Netherlands	3.0 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Lithuania	2.7 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Switzerland	2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Greece	2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Latvia	1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Norway	1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Finland	1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Denmark	1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
United Kingdom	1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Croatia	1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Ireland	1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰	<0.1%
Luxembourg	8.0 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Estonia	7.0 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Cyprus	2.3 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Brazil	1.7 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
South Africa	1.5 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
China	1.0 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Malta	1.0 × 10⁻¹¹	<0.1%
Serbia	5.8 × 10⁻¹⁴	<0.1%
Total	1.0 × 10⁻⁶	= the headline figure, 1.0 × 10⁻⁶

What this trail does not show

Each table is a separate way of dividing the figure. “Cobalt accounts for 40%” and “one country accounts for 60%” are two views of one figure, not a path through it: the calculation stores the figure divided each way on its own, not every combination of them.
A range belongs to the whole figure. A step’s number is only its middle estimate.
Production phase only. Harm from using the product — driving the car, charging the phone — is not in this figure.

Sources behind this figure

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International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT. The ILO did not prepare, review or endorse these derived figures; responsibility for them rests solely with Quiescence — emp-20261007, retrieved 2026-10-06 from https://sdmx.ilo.org/rest/data/ILO,DF_EMP_TEMP_SEX_ECO_NB,1.0/.A..SEX_T.. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Data modified by HumanToll.
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HumanToll 2026, run 2193, methodology v0.1. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/explain/petrol-car/

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