login
quiescence.eu
Skip to content

The full breakdown

How the figure for Cotton yarn is built

Every stage the model passes through, with its number. Each table below divides the same headline figure a different way, and each one adds up to it exactly — the page checks, and refuses to show a table that does not.

Is something on this page wrong? Report it →

The headline

One item is one kilogram of spun cotton yarn. Scenario Evidence-weighted, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Materials method — 8.0 × 10⁻⁹ per item(0.32–2.0 × 10⁻⁸)LOWS-EVID · run 2193 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

Money method — 7.6 × 10⁻⁷ per €1,000 spent in its industry(0.49–1.2 × 10⁻⁶)MEDIUMS-EVID · run 2193 · methodology v0.1 · data dv-20261007-44r

Each step below is a middle estimate. The model works out a range for the whole figure, not for each step, so the range that applies to a step is the headline’s.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries

How much of each raw material is in one item, the deaths linked to each kilogram of it in this calculation, and the two multiplied together: its part of the headline figure.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries
MaterialPer itemDeaths per kgPart of the figureShare
Cotton0.0030 t2.6 × 10⁻⁹8.0 × 10⁻⁹100%
Total8.0 × 10⁻⁹= the headline figure, 8.0 × 10⁻⁹

2 · Where the harm was counted

The same headline, by the country where the harm the materials carry was counted.

2 · Where the harm was counted
CountryPart of the figureShare
Burkina Faso5.5 × 10⁻⁹69%
Mali8.6 × 10⁻¹⁰11%
Sudan6.6 × 10⁻¹⁰8.3%
Mexico3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰4.5%
United States2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰2.9%
Syrian Arab Republic9.2 × 10⁻¹¹1.2%
Australia6.8 × 10⁻¹¹0.85%
Turkiye4.3 × 10⁻¹¹0.53%
Nigeria3.2 × 10⁻¹¹0.40%
Afghanistan1.7 × 10⁻¹¹0.21%
Argentina1.7 × 10⁻¹¹0.21%
Uzbekistan1.5 × 10⁻¹¹0.19%
Turkmenistan1.5 × 10⁻¹¹0.18%
Congo, Dem. Rep.1.4 × 10⁻¹¹0.17%
Niger7.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Spain4.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Greece4.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Colombia3.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Azerbaijan2.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Israel8.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Thailand1.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Total8.0 × 10⁻⁹= the headline figure, 8.0 × 10⁻⁹

3 · Through which kind of harm

The same headline, by kind of harm: war, work, poverty, pollution.

3 · Through which kind of harm
Kind of harmPart of the figureShare
Conflict and political violence7.6 × 10⁻⁹95%
Work4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰5.0%
Total8.0 × 10⁻⁹= the headline figure, 8.0 × 10⁻⁹

4 · Which wars

The war deaths in the headline, by war. Harm of any other kind is the row that names no war.

4 · Which wars
WarPart of the figureShare
Burkina Faso: Government4.6 × 10⁻⁹58%
Burkina Faso: Islamic State9.4 × 10⁻¹⁰12%
Mali: Government7.1 × 10⁻¹⁰8.9%
Sudan: Government6.6 × 10⁻¹⁰8.3%
Not placed4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰5.0%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰4.5%
Mali: Islamic State1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰1.8%
Syria: Government9.2 × 10⁻¹¹1.2%
Nigeria: Government3.3 × 10⁻¹¹0.41%
Afghanistan: Government1.7 × 10⁻¹¹0.21%
Government of Rwanda - Civilians7.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
DR Congo (Zaire): Government6.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Niger: Islamic State5.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Colombia: Government1.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Niger: Government1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Total8.0 × 10⁻⁹= the headline figure, 8.0 × 10⁻⁹

5 · The money method: which industries

The figure per €1,000, by the industry where the harm happened, anywhere in the supply chain.

5 · The money method: which industries
IndustryPart of the figureShare
Mining and quarrying3.7 × 10⁻⁷49%
Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities9.9 × 10⁻⁸13%
Land transport and transport via pipelines5.9 × 10⁻⁸7.8%
Manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products5.4 × 10⁻⁸7.1%
Water transport3.8 × 10⁻⁸5.0%
Manufacture of basic metals3.1 × 10⁻⁸4.1%
Warehousing and support activities for transportation2.6 × 10⁻⁸3.5%
Air transport1.9 × 10⁻⁸2.5%
Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles1.4 × 10⁻⁸1.9%
Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles6.5 × 10⁻⁹0.86%
Postal and courier activities4.4 × 10⁻⁹0.58%
Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products3.8 × 10⁻⁹0.50%
Water collection, treatment and supply3.5 × 10⁻⁹0.46%
Construction2.4 × 10⁻⁹0.31%
Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment2.3 × 10⁻⁹0.30%
Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products2.3 × 10⁻⁹0.30%
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security2.0 × 10⁻⁹0.26%
Manufacture of other transport equipment1.8 × 10⁻⁹0.24%
Security and investigation, service and landscape, office administrative and support activities1.8 × 10⁻⁹0.23%
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply1.7 × 10⁻⁹0.23%
Employment activities1.0 × 10⁻⁹0.13%
Rental and leasing activities9.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Manufacture of rubber and plastic products9.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Manufacture of food products; beverages and tobacco products8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Sewerage, waste management, remediation activities8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles8.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Manufacture of paper and paper products6.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Legal and accounting activities; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities6.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Accommodation and food service activities5.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Forestry and logging4.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair and installation of machinery and equipment3.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products2.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Real estate activities2.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of electrical equipment2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Human health activities1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of furniture; other manufacturing1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Advertising and market research1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Travel agency, tour operator reservation service and related activities1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Printing and reproduction of recorded media1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair of computers and personal and household goods1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Computer programming, consultancy, and information service activities1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other professional, scientific and technical activities; veterinary activities1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Fishing and aquaculture1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Activities of membership organisations1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Other personal service activities1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations9.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Telecommunications6.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities5.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Creative, arts and entertainment activities; libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities; gambling and betting activities4.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Education4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Motion picture, video, television programme production; programming and broadcasting activities2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities2.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Publishing activities2.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation1.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Scientific research and development1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use1.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Total7.6 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 7.6 × 10⁻⁷

6 · The money method: which countries

The figure per €1,000, by the country of the industry where the harm happened.

6 · The money method: which countries
CountryPart of the figureShare
Not placed6.6 × 10⁻⁷87%
Turkiye4.2 × 10⁻⁸5.6%
United States9.6 × 10⁻⁹1.3%
Mexico8.6 × 10⁻⁹1.1%
Russian Federation8.0 × 10⁻⁹1.0%
Korea, Rep.7.7 × 10⁻⁹1.0%
Italy5.9 × 10⁻⁹0.77%
France3.4 × 10⁻⁹0.45%
Japan2.2 × 10⁻⁹0.30%
Argentina1.9 × 10⁻⁹0.25%
Spain1.8 × 10⁻⁹0.24%
Portugal1.7 × 10⁻⁹0.22%
Germany1.3 × 10⁻⁹0.17%
Romania8.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Poland7.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Canada6.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Bulgaria5.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Australia5.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Austria3.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Czechia2.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Lithuania2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Greece2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Belgium2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Hungary1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Croatia1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Switzerland1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Netherlands1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Latvia1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sweden1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Denmark1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Norway1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Finland1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Slovenia9.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Slovak Republic8.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Ireland8.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Estonia4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Luxembourg4.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Cyprus3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
United Kingdom1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Malta6.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
China6.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Brazil6.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
South Africa5.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Serbia1.2 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Total7.6 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 7.6 × 10⁻⁷

What this trail does not show

Sources behind this figure

HumanToll 2026, run 2193, methodology v0.1. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/explain/cotton-yarn/

Back to Cotton yarn →

About

Business-intelligence and B2B platforms, plus free privacy-first browser tools. Built and hosted in Europe.

Links

Privacy Cookies Terms Legal Notice
© 2026 QUIESCENCE.EU