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The full breakdown

How the figure for Bag of charcoal is built

Every stage the model passes through, with its number. Each table below divides the same headline figure a different way, and each one adds up to it exactly — the page checks, and refuses to show a table that does not.

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The headline

One item is one 3 kg bag of lump wood charcoal, without the bag. Scenario Economic-embedded, using FIGARO 2023. Each figure is the middle result of 2,000 runs of the calculation, with the range that holds nine in ten of them beside it, and the grade that range earns.

Materials method — 1.5 × 10⁻⁷ per item(0.61–3.5 × 10⁻⁷)LOWS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Money method — 1.3 × 10⁻⁵ per €1,000 spent in its industry(0.83–1.9 × 10⁻⁵)MEDIUMS-MAX · run 2259 · methodology v1.0 · data dv-20261007-44r

Each step below is a middle estimate. The model works out a range for the whole figure, not for each step, so the range that applies to a step is the headline’s.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries

How much of each raw material is in one item, the deaths linked to each kilogram of it in this calculation, and the two multiplied together: its part of the headline figure.

1 · What it is made of, and what each material carries
MaterialPer itemDeaths per kgPart of the figureShare
Wood charcoal0.0030 t5.1 × 10⁻⁸1.5 × 10⁻⁷100%
Total1.5 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 1.5 × 10⁻⁷

2 · Where the harm was counted

The same headline, by the country where the harm the materials carry was counted.

2 · Where the harm was counted
CountryPart of the figureShare
Somalia, Fed. Rep.7.1 × 10⁻⁸46%
Ethiopia2.1 × 10⁻⁸14%
Burkina Faso1.2 × 10⁻⁸7.7%
Congo, Dem. Rep.1.1 × 10⁻⁸7.3%
Sudan9.6 × 10⁻⁹6.3%
Nigeria7.1 × 10⁻⁹4.7%
Niger4.0 × 10⁻⁹2.6%
Ukraine3.3 × 10⁻⁹2.2%
Myanmar1.6 × 10⁻⁹1.1%
Burundi1.6 × 10⁻⁹1.0%
Central African Republic1.5 × 10⁻⁹0.96%
Cameroon1.3 × 10⁻⁹0.84%
Mali1.2 × 10⁻⁹0.80%
Brazil1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.70%
Kenya1.0 × 10⁻⁹0.67%
Haiti7.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.46%
Mozambique5.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.38%
Togo5.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.34%
Thailand5.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.32%
Afghanistan3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.24%
Uganda2.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.19%
South Sudan2.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.17%
Chad2.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.14%
Mexico1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
Yemen, Rep.1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
United States9.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Ghana5.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
India5.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Colombia5.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Ecuador3.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Pakistan3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Philippines2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Benin2.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Argentina2.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Spain2.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
France2.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Singapore1.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Syrian Arab Republic1.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Honduras1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Mauritania1.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Lebanon1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Eswatini7.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Poland6.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Portugal6.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Japan5.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Indonesia5.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Tunisia5.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Korea, Rep.5.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Germany4.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Italy4.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Croatia4.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Egypt, Arab Rep.3.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Russian Federation3.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Iraq2.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Mongolia2.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Bangladesh2.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Azerbaijan2.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Panama1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Morocco1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Latvia1.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Costa Rica1.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Papua New Guinea1.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Guatemala1.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Belarus1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Slovak Republic9.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Australia9.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Sri Lanka8.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Czechia7.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Cyprus6.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Turkiye6.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Venezuela, RB4.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Bulgaria3.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Austria3.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Peru3.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Moldova2.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Algeria2.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Slovenia2.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Romania2.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Libya1.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Sweden1.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
South Africa1.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Uzbekistan1.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Bolivia8.5 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Saudi Arabia4.3 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
China2.1 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Switzerland2.0 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Mauritius2.3 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Iran, Islamic Rep.2.2 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Total1.5 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 1.5 × 10⁻⁷

3 · Through which kind of harm

The same headline, by kind of harm: war, work, poverty, pollution.

3 · Through which kind of harm
Kind of harmPart of the figureShare
Conflict and political violence1.5 × 10⁻⁷100%
Work7.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.48%
Total1.5 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 1.5 × 10⁻⁷

4 · Which wars

The war deaths in the headline, by war. Harm of any other kind is the row that names no war.

4 · Which wars
WarPart of the figureShare
Somalia: Government6.5 × 10⁻⁸42%
Ethiopia: Government/Amhara1.1 × 10⁻⁸7.4%
Burkina Faso: Government5.7 × 10⁻⁹3.7%
IS - Civilians5.7 × 10⁻⁹3.7%
Sudan: Government5.0 × 10⁻⁹3.2%
SSC-Khatumo Administration - Republic of Somaliland4.9 × 10⁻⁹3.2%
Ethiopia: Oromiya4.2 × 10⁻⁹2.7%
RSF - Civilians3.5 × 10⁻⁹2.3%
Russia - Ukraine3.3 × 10⁻⁹2.2%
JNIM - Civilians3.2 × 10⁻⁹2.1%
Nigeria: Islamic State2.8 × 10⁻⁹1.8%
URDPC - Civilians1.9 × 10⁻⁹1.2%
Niger: Islamic State1.8 × 10⁻⁹1.2%
Government of Ethiopia - Civilians1.7 × 10⁻⁹1.1%
OLA - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻⁹0.87%
Lengola - Mbole1.2 × 10⁻⁹0.81%
Government of Burkina Faso - Civilians1.2 × 10⁻⁹0.79%
Fano - Civilians1.2 × 10⁻⁹0.77%
Burkina Faso: Islamic State1.2 × 10⁻⁹0.77%
Anuak - Nuer1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.75%
Burundi: Government1.1 × 10⁻⁹0.72%
DR Congo (Zaire): Government9.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.61%
Kenya: Northeastern Province and Coast9.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.59%
Myanmar (Burma): Government8.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.58%
Central African Republic: Government8.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.57%
DR Congo (Zaire): Islamic State8.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.57%
IS - JNIM7.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.50%
Al-Shabaab - Civilians7.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.48%
Not placed7.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.48%
IS - JAS6.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.44%
M23 - VDP5.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.35%
Nigeria: Government5.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.34%
Mobondo - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.34%
Government of Burundi - Civilians4.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.32%
JAS - Civilians4.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.27%
M23 - Civilians4.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.27%
Fulani - Mwaghavul3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.26%
Cameroon: Ambazonia3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.26%
Beni Halba Baggara - Salamat Baggara3.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.25%
Mozambique: Islamic State3.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.25%
Rwanda: Government3.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.24%
Fulani - Mwaghavul , Ron3.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.24%
Niger: Government3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.23%
AAKG - CPC3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.23%
Fulani - Tiv3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.23%
Government of DR Congo (Zaire) - Civilians3.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.22%
Sa'ad subclan of Habar Gidir clan (Hawiye) - Leelkase subclan (Darod)3.4 × 10⁻¹⁰0.22%
Mali: Government3.2 × 10⁻¹⁰0.21%
Government of Myanmar (Burma) - Civilians3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.20%
Comando Vermelho - PCC3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.20%
Amhara - Oromo3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.20%
Farmers (Nigeria) - Herders (Nigeria)3.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.19%
Habaniya - Salamat Baggara2.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.17%
Somalia: Islamic State2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.16%
Cameroon: Government2.3 × 10⁻¹⁰0.15%
Ambazonia insurgents - Civilians2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.14%
Nigeria: Biafra2.1 × 10⁻¹⁰0.14%
Togo: Government2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Djerma (Zherma) - Fulani2.0 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Arab - Gimir1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰0.13%
Luac Jang Dinka - Pakam Dinka1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰0.12%
URDPC - Zaire self-defense group1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Afghanistan: Islamic State1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Government of Mali - Civilians1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.11%
Birom - Fulani1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
Myanmar (Burma): Kachin1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰0.10%
Zaire self-defense group - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
VDP - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Mali: Government/Azawad1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Guraghe - Mareqo1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Atyap - Fulani1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Government of Rwanda - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Government of Haiti - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Karimjo - Wurukum1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Black Axe - Eyie1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
G9 - G-Pep1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Chad: Government1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
FPIC Chambre noire sanduku - URDPC1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Yemen (North Yemen): Government1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Bonde do Maluco - Comando Vermelho1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Terre Noire - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
FPIC Chambre noire sanduku - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
5 Segond, Taliban - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Central African Republic: Logone1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cameroon: Islamic State1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Forces of Terwase Akwanza - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Twic Dinka - Ngok Dinka1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Cartel do Norte - Comando Vermelho1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Karen1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Grand Ravine - Civilians1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Fulani - Idoma9.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
CPC - Civilians9.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fulani - Kuteb9.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Murle - Nuer9.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Farmers (Chad) - Herders (Chad)8.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Uganda: Islamic State8.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
AFC - Civilians8.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Karenni7.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
G-Pep - Civilians7.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
AFP-Gutabara - CNPSC, FABB7.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - PCC7.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Dan na Ambassagou - JNIM6.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Somalia - Civilians6.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Mali: Islamic State6.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Nigeria - Civilians6.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
IS - Naparama6.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Arab - Masalit6.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Afghanistan: Government5.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Kusasi - Mamprusi5.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Chain Guys - Full Force5.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - GDE5.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Nova Okaida - Estados Unidos5.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
GDE, PCC - Sindicato do Crime5.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Cameroon - Civilians5.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
PCC - Sindicato do Crime4.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Amigos Para Sempre - Família Terror Amapá4.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel4.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of South Sudan - Civilians4.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Afghanistan - Civilians4.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Arakan4.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Civilians3.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel3.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Hausa - Nuba3.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Pakistan: Government3.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Juarez Cartel - Sinaloa Cartel3.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Al-Shabaab - IS3.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Central African Republic - Civilians3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Hausa - Fulani3.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comités locaux de vigilance - JAS3.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Gran Grif - Civilians2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
400 Mawozo - Civilians2.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde dos 13, PCC - Comando Vermelho2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - Comando Vermelho2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Mozambique - Civilians2.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
AFP-Gutabara - FABB2.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Amhara - Gumuz2.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Carteles Unidos - Jalisco Cartel New Generation2.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Kokang2.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Thailand: Patani2.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
FRPI - Civilians2.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fulani - Irigwe2.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Holanda2.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Dozos (Mali) - JNIM1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fulani - Igala1.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Philippines: Government1.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Mauritania: Government1.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Benin: Government1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Greenlanders - NDV1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Black Axe - Maphite1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
India: Kashmir1.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Hawazma - Nuba1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
M18 - MS-131.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Afghanistan - Pakistan1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Massa1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Caborca Cartel, Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
AQAP - Forces of the Presidential Leadership Council1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Basonge - Bena Nkoma (Bakwa Luntu, Luba)1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Nova Okaida - PCC1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde do Maluco - Katiara1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde do Maluco - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Hausa - Funj1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Kuki - Meitei1.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
India: Government1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
RED-TABARA - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
FDLR-FOCA - Civilians1.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
FPIC Chambre noire sanduku - FRPI1.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Government of Sudan - Civilians1.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Los Choneros - Los Lobos1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Supporters of APC - Supporters of PDP1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Comando Vermelho - Terceiro Comando Puro1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Dozos (Mali) - Civilians1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Israel: Southern Lebanon1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Mayi Mayi Chini ya Tuna - Civilians1.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
South Sudan: Government9.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Toposa - Turkana9.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Dinka - Nuer9.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Black Axe - SVC9.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
IPOB - Civilians9.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Philippines: Islamic State8.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
NUG - Civilians7.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of eSwatini (Swaziland) - Civilians7.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
PCC - Civilians7.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Luba - Batwa7.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Agatu - Fulani7.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
IS - Yan Gora7.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Deebam - NDV7.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Farmers (CAR) - Herders (CAR)6.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
AAKG - Civilians6.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Ajeita - Bonde do Maluco6.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Cartel Independiente de Acapulco - Los Rusos, UPOEG6.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Dan na Ambassagou - Civilians6.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
EGC - Civilians6.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Syria: Government5.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
CPI-Maoist - Civilians5.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Brazil - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Tunisia: Government5.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Syria: Islamic State5.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
GATIA - IS4.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Anti-Bala - Bala na Cara4.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Fatales, Los Aguilas - Los Lobos , Los Tiguerones4.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Bonde dos 40 - PCM4.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos4.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Chone Killers - Latin Kings3.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Carteles Unidos, Guerreros Unidos - Los Tlacos3.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Jukun - Tiv3.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Aguilas - Los Lobos3.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
FARC-EMC - Civilians3.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
M18 - Civilians3.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Indonesia: West Papua3.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Choneros - Los Lagartos3.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Kokorat sans ras - Civilians3.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Misseriya - Ngok Dinka3.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Lobos - Los Tiguerones3.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Lagartos - Mafia 183.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Egypt - Civilians3.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Pakistan: Balochistan2.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
SNA - SDF2.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Ardillos - Los Tlacos2.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Kashmir insurgents - Civilians2.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
DR Congo (Zaire): Katanga2.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Uganda - Civilians2.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Twiganeho - Civilians2.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
AFC - VDP2.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
IS - MSA2.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
United Kingdom, United States of America - Yemen2.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Aguilas - Los Lobos , Los Tiguerones2.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Pakistan: Islamic State2.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
FARC-EMC - ELN2.2 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
ARSA - Civilians2.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Choa Arab - Kotoko2.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Choa Arab - Musgum2.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Zetas Vieja Escuela2.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Azerbaijan: Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabakh)1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Iran - Israel1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Yemen (North Yemen) - Civilians1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Morocco: Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (Western Sahara)1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
CPP - Civilians1.7 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Forces of Tony Peña - Los Hondureños1.6 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Turkey: Kurdistan1.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
OPM - Civilians1.5 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
FARC - Segunda Marquetalia - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
ELN - Civilians1.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
DZ Mafia - Yoda1.4 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Colombia: Government1.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
IS - SDF1.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Ambulin, Lungupin, Nenei, Sau, Sau Walep, Yandamau, Yopo - Kaekin, Lanzerakin, Lyona, Mupapalu, Murap, Palinau, Sakaikin, Sikin, Wapukin1.3 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Los Costenos - Los Pepes1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of Pakistan - Civilians1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
EGC - ELN, FARC-EMC1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Hindus (India) - Muslims (India)1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
EGC - ELN1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Myanmar (Burma): Shan1.1 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Deir ez Zor Military Council - SDF1.0 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Government of India - Civilians9.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Patani insurgents - Civilians7.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Shia (Pakistan) - Sunni (Pakistan)7.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
MS-13 - Civilians7.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Iraq: Government6.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Egypt: Islamic State5.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Los Rusos, UPOEG - Los Tlacos5.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
India: Western South East Asia5.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Civilians5.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Pájaros Sierra4.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
EGC - Autodefensas Conquistadoras de la Sierra Nevada4.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Syria: Government/Rojava Kurdistan4.4 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Amigos dos Amigos - Comando Vermelho4.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
FDN - PCC4.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Israel: Palestine4.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Mexico - Civilians4.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Colombia - Civilians3.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Indonesia - Civilians3.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Los Ardillos - Los Rojos3.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Supporters of Awami League - Supporters of BNP3.5 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Venezuela - Civilians3.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Los Zetas - Cártel del Noreste faction3.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
BRAS - Civilians3.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Peru: Government3.0 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
VHP - Civilians2.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Algeria: Government2.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Los Lobos - R72.6 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Philippines: Mindanao2.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Government of Philippines - Civilians2.1 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Russia (Soviet Union): Government1.9 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Israel - Syria1.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Libya: Government1.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
TTP - Civilians1.8 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Supporters of Awami League - Supporters of Jamaat-e-Islami1.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Comandos de la Frontera - Civilians1.7 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
India - Pakistan1.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
India: Nagaland1.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
NSCN-IM - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
PLFI - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Autodefensas Conquistadoras de la Sierra Nevada - Civilians1.3 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Sinaloa Cartel1.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Gulf Cartel - Jalisco Cartel New Generation1.2 × 10⁻¹³<0.1%
Syrian insurgents - Civilians9.8 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Los Costenos - Civilians8.4 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
SDF - Civilians7.6 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
CATA - Codeta7.2 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Government of South Africa - Civilians4.8 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
LeJ - Civilians2.6 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Government of Papua New Guinea - Civilians1.9 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Guerreros Unidos - Los Tlacos1.9 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
IS - HTS1.1 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Russia: Islamic State9.6 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Russia (Soviet Union): Chechnya3.9 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
Iran: Government1.9 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.1%
PKK - Civilians7.3 × 10⁻¹⁶<0.1%
Iran: Islamic State2.1 × 10⁻¹⁶<0.1%
Government of Iran - Civilians1.6 × 10⁻¹⁶<0.1%
Total1.5 × 10⁻⁷= the headline figure, 1.5 × 10⁻⁷

5 · The money method: which industries

The figure per €1,000, by the industry where the harm happened, anywhere in the supply chain.

5 · The money method: which industries
IndustryPart of the figureShare
Forestry and logging1.2 × 10⁻⁵94%
Mining and quarrying4.8 × 10⁻⁷3.8%
Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities1.9 × 10⁻⁷1.5%
Land transport and transport via pipelines3.0 × 10⁻⁸0.24%
Water transport3.0 × 10⁻⁸0.24%
Manufacture of basic metals1.9 × 10⁻⁸0.15%
Warehousing and support activities for transportation1.7 × 10⁻⁸0.13%
Air transport8.6 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles5.6 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of other transport equipment3.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Construction3.3 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products3.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment2.9 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles2.6 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Postal and courier activities2.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Public administration and defence; compulsory social security1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Water collection, treatment and supply1.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Security and investigation, service and landscape, office administrative and support activities9.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles9.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply9.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Rental and leasing activities8.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products6.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Sewerage, waste management, remediation activities5.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.4.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Employment activities4.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials4.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of rubber and plastic products3.2 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair and installation of machinery and equipment3.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of food products; beverages and tobacco products3.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Legal and accounting activities; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities2.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Accommodation and food service activities2.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of paper and paper products2.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products1.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products1.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Human health activities1.7 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products1.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Manufacture of electrical equipment1.5 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Travel agency, tour operator reservation service and related activities1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Repair of computers and personal and household goods1.4 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Real estate activities1.0 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding9.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Computer programming, consultancy, and information service activities8.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities of membership organisations7.9 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Other personal service activities7.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Advertising and market research7.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Other professional, scientific and technical activities; veterinary activities6.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Fishing and aquaculture5.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Printing and reproduction of recorded media5.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Manufacture of furniture; other manufacturing4.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities4.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Telecommunications4.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Education3.4 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations3.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Creative, arts and entertainment activities; libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities; gambling and betting activities3.0 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security2.6 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities2.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Motion picture, video, television programme production; programming and broadcasting activities1.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Publishing activities1.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Scientific research and development1.2 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Residential care activities and social work activities without accommodation1.1 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use1.9 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Total1.3 × 10⁻⁵= the headline figure, 1.3 × 10⁻⁵

6 · The money method: which countries

The figure per €1,000, by the country of the industry where the harm happened.

6 · The money method: which countries
CountryPart of the figureShare
Not placed1.1 × 10⁻⁵91%
Brazil4.3 × 10⁻⁷3.4%
Mexico2.3 × 10⁻⁷1.8%
United States7.4 × 10⁻⁸0.59%
Canada6.7 × 10⁻⁸0.53%
Austria6.6 × 10⁻⁸0.53%
Russian Federation4.2 × 10⁻⁸0.34%
Germany2.5 × 10⁻⁸0.20%
France2.3 × 10⁻⁸0.18%
Turkiye1.9 × 10⁻⁸0.15%
Finland1.8 × 10⁻⁸0.15%
India1.8 × 10⁻⁸0.14%
Romania1.7 × 10⁻⁸0.13%
Sweden1.3 × 10⁻⁸0.10%
Indonesia1.1 × 10⁻⁸<0.1%
Portugal1.1 × 10⁻⁸<0.1%
Italy1.0 × 10⁻⁸<0.1%
Korea, Rep.8.9 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Spain8.3 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Japan8.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Lithuania5.8 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Slovak Republic4.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Czechia4.2 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Latvia3.6 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Poland3.6 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Australia3.3 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Argentina2.6 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Croatia2.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Bulgaria2.5 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Hungary2.0 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Denmark1.7 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Switzerland1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Norway1.4 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Ireland1.3 × 10⁻⁹<0.1%
Slovenia7.8 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Belgium5.6 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
South Africa4.9 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Estonia4.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Greece1.3 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Netherlands1.1 × 10⁻¹⁰<0.1%
Luxembourg8.8 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
China5.3 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Saudi Arabia4.5 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
United Kingdom1.7 × 10⁻¹¹<0.1%
Cyprus9.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Malta5.8 × 10⁻¹²<0.1%
Serbia1.1 × 10⁻¹⁴<0.1%
Total1.3 × 10⁻⁵= the headline figure, 1.3 × 10⁻⁵

What this trail does not show

Sources behind this figure

HumanToll 2026, run 2259, methodology v1.0. https://quiescence.eu/humantoll/explain/charcoal-bag/

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